Why the GOP Should Worry About Hillary Clinton's Poll Numbers _HRC GROUP POST

[OKNancy]

http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/why-gop-should-worry-about-hillary-clintons-poll-numbers-n389946

With the 2016 general election a little less than 16 months away, key polling data for Hillary Clinton shows that her numbers look a lot like President Barack Obama's in 2012 — and could be bad news for Republicans.

The American Communities Project took the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal polling data and ran it through its filter.

The numbers show Republicans may have a hard road ahead. Across the types for which we had sufficient numbers for a sample — dense Big Cities, wealthy, diverse Urban Suburbs, and sprawling Exurbs — figures for Clinton look eerily similar to those Obama scored in his re-election effort.

We also collected numbers from a group of less-populated rural communities groups — counties ACP calls Rural Middle America, Graying America and the Aging Farmlands. These numbers show the familiar splits that favor Republicans.

Chart is at the link!

[Gothmog]

1. These are strong polling numbers

[1StrongBlackMan]

2. Yes, they are ...

One data set I find interesting is the HRC vs Bush - rural (relative to 2012): That has Bush picking up ground.

[NewJeffCT]

6. I believe rural voters

are a smaller percentage of the electorate than in 2012, maybe by 1 or 2 points less. Just like the angry white men without college degrees are a smaller percentage than in 2008 and 2012. Plus, if Trump even sticks around for a while, he's going to piss even more people off, and the 70% of Hispanics and 75% of Asians that went for Obama may go even higher. (I'm hoping for Castro from TX as a potential VP candidate as well...)

[Tarheel_Dem]

7. "I'm hoping for Castro from TX as a potential VP candidate as well..."

[Cryptoad]

3. Thank you for posting in you title that,,,

it is a group post.... I have many times open a post off the home page unaware of the fact that it is group post,,and replied in a manner I shouldn't have in a group forum.

[Iliyah]

4. Good to read!

[rpannier]

5. K&R

Wish to lend my appreciation for letting everyone know it's HRC room as well
Though, I try and shy away from getting into what I perceive as needless arguments with fellow DUers who are supporting other candidates

I posted in the HRC room about a month ago and would like to add to yours, she has one other thing working in her favor
She is known to almost everyone.
Her 20+ years in the public spotlight means almost everyone has an opinion on her
I believe (though cannot prove with polling numbers) that about 75-77% of people have made up their mind about her.
I think 40% will vote for her unless it's discovered she's a freeway sniper or something akin and about 33% will never vote for her no matter what
It's the 27% that are undecided that work in her favor
They will spend more time looking at the Republicans to try and learn more about them
That's not a pretty picture and I think about 3/5 will break her ways, 30% break against and 10% go looking elsewhere
Barring something unexpected, I don't see how it breaks in favor of the Republicans under any plausible scenario

[Cosmocat]

9. Lilkely scenario

IF nothing major happens, she runs a safe, but humble campaign, it likely breaks her way.

A domestic terror event, a major international event or economic downturn could change things.

Rs r going to turn out, frenzied over having to deal w bho in the white house for 8 year s and not wanting it to be in d hands, regardless if it is hill, bernie or someone else.

[Tarheel_Dem]

8. Clinton's base is so much more diverse than that of the GOP. Unless people just don't...

bother to vote, or there's some major trickery surrounding the voting machines, I think she's a lock for both the nomination and the GE.

[MJkcj]

12. hope you are right!

[William769]

10. Great news!

[hrmjustin]

11. I am not worried. I think Democrats like Sanders but know Hillary is the future.