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Sun May 1, 2016, 08:31 AM

New NBCnews/WSJ/Marist Poll: Clinton 50, Sanders 46.

http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/donald-trump-leads-cruz-15-points-crucial-indiana-race-n565356



It's close, but close doesn't bode well when you need 65% of the remaining delegates in a proportional system and need landslides to achieve that.

21 replies, 1059 views

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Reply New NBCnews/WSJ/Marist Poll: Clinton 50, Sanders 46. (Original post)
SaschaHM May 2016 OP
NurseJackie May 2016 #1
Treant May 2016 #2
NurseJackie May 2016 #3
NurseJackie May 2016 #4
Treant May 2016 #6
NurseJackie May 2016 #7
Treant May 2016 #9
pandr32 May 2016 #12
LiberalFighter May 2016 #20
Walk away May 2016 #5
BootinUp May 2016 #8
Treant May 2016 #11
Treant May 2016 #10
Walk away May 2016 #13
question everything May 2016 #14
DemonGoddess May 2016 #16
question everything May 2016 #18
DemonGoddess May 2016 #19
SaschaHM May 2016 #17
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin May 2016 #15
LiberalFighter May 2016 #21

Response to SaschaHM (Original post)

Sun May 1, 2016, 09:19 AM

1. Apparently Hillary isn't spending ad money there ...

... and she's still doing better than Bernie!

She's already in GE mode! Bernie is in her rearview mirror and shrinking fast!

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Response to NurseJackie (Reply #1)

Sun May 1, 2016, 09:25 AM

2. "Objects in mirror

are less significant than they appear"

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Response to Treant (Reply #2)

Sun May 1, 2016, 09:25 AM

3. Ha!! :-D

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Response to Treant (Reply #2)

Sun May 1, 2016, 09:27 AM

4. Or this ... pretty much covers it ...

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Response to NurseJackie (Reply #4)

Sun May 1, 2016, 09:40 AM

6. I love it!

I'm always reminded of Jurassic Park when the T Rex is closing in on the jeep and the "larger than they appear" is on screen.

It's just not what you want to see when a T Rex is catching up.

Fortunately, Bernie was no T Rex.

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Response to Treant (Reply #6)

Sun May 1, 2016, 09:43 AM

7. But I've often heard him referred to as a "DINO"! :-P

(Too easy! I know! But thanks for the great set-up!)



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Response to NurseJackie (Reply #7)

Sun May 1, 2016, 09:50 AM

9. Thankew, thankew,

we'll be here all week! Tip your waitress and try the fish!

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Response to NurseJackie (Reply #7)

Sun May 1, 2016, 09:56 AM

12. Ha-ha!



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Response to NurseJackie (Reply #1)

Mon May 2, 2016, 10:04 AM

20. I haven't seen anything with her.

Just a couple of Sanders and a lot of Cruz and Trump.

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Response to SaschaHM (Original post)

Sun May 1, 2016, 09:39 AM

5. Anything lower than a 65% win for Sanders is now a loss for him.

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Response to Walk away (Reply #5)

Sun May 1, 2016, 09:45 AM

8. We can post target adjusted results so people don't have to do math. lol.

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Response to BootinUp (Reply #8)

Sun May 1, 2016, 09:53 AM

11. They won't anyway. :-)

Believers gonna believe.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-really-hard-to-get-bernie-sanders-988-more-delegates/

Prior to his Super Tuesday III trouncing (and other assorted losses), Sanders had to take Indiana by +16 to stay competitive. That's gotta be somewhere in the mid-twenties by now.

Even a Michigan-level miscall doesn't get him that at this point.

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Response to Walk away (Reply #5)

Sun May 1, 2016, 09:51 AM

10. I like the optics

of Clinton winning Indiana, though. It extends her Super Tuesday III wins, erodes a little more of the Sanders momentum meme, and adds to her delegate lead.

She'll want the latter in Oregon, I'm thinking, although it won't be the blowout that Washington was by any means.

With as contentious as this Primary season has been, I'd love to see her walk into the Convention with a very strong, obvious, and unassailable lead.

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Response to Treant (Reply #10)

Sun May 1, 2016, 10:11 AM

13. Of course but....a win is a win!

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Response to SaschaHM (Original post)

Sun May 1, 2016, 07:33 PM

14. Is Indiana an open or a closed primary? (nt)

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Response to question everything (Reply #14)

Sun May 1, 2016, 07:49 PM

16. Open

You ask for your party of choice ballot when you vote. But, you did have to register by April 4 to participate.

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Response to DemonGoddess (Reply #16)

Mon May 2, 2016, 09:43 AM

18. Thus, Sanders has a chance. Oh well. (nt)

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Response to question everything (Reply #18)

Mon May 2, 2016, 09:43 AM

19. not really. It'll be close though

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Response to question everything (Reply #14)

Sun May 1, 2016, 07:54 PM

17. Open (ish). You had to be registered by Apr. 4th.

Voters can choose which ballot they want if they are registered. It should be close, but I think the polls might be understating AA turnout. They made up 14% of the vote in 2008 and were one of the prime reasons President Obama came within a point of winning while winning only 39% of the white vote.

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Response to SaschaHM (Original post)

Sun May 1, 2016, 07:42 PM

15. But Sanders still has a chance

Just ask him he'll tell you.

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Response to SaschaHM (Original post)

Mon May 2, 2016, 10:09 AM

21. Indiana is an open primary with polls open from 6am to 6pm.

In 2008, Hillary won Indiana 646,253 to 632,061.

If polling data holds out it should be about Clinton: 45 delegates - Sanders: 38.

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