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book_worm

(15,951 posts)
Sat May 7, 2016, 09:47 AM May 2016

HRC coming on strong in WVA poll: Sanders 47% (-10) HRC: 43% (+14)

In the Democratic presidential race, 47 percent of likely Democratic voters backed Sanders, 43 percent said they supported Hillary Clinton, former U.S. Secretary of State, and 11 percent were not sure.

Sanders’ strength is among people between the ages of 18 and 34.

“The key, of course, for Sanders is a high turnout with young voters, while Clinton’s support is generally older, those with a college degree or post-graduate degree and upper income Democrats,” Repass said.

The poll numbers included registered party members along with unaffiliated voters most likely to choose a particular party’s ballot. The sample size was 315 for Democrats and 228 for Republicans, Repass Research officials said, with an overall statistical error size of +/-4.0 percentage points.

Back in February, in a much more crowded Republican presidential field, Trump still lead the way with 40 percent in the poll. Kasich finished 5th behind Cruz, U.S. Senator Marco Rubio (R-Florida) and Dr. Ben Carson.

Three months ago, the MetroNews West Virginia Poll showed a much larger difference between Sanders, 57 percent, and Clinton, 29 percent, with 14 percent not sure.

http://wvmetronews.com/2016/05/06/overwhelming-support-for-trump-lead-for-sanders-in-metronews-west-virginia-poll/

I remember how the Bernie folks touted the February WVA poll showing Bernie up by 28 points in WVA... so I'm touting this poll showing him falling like a rock in the state in a poll by the same pollster.

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HRC coming on strong in WVA poll: Sanders 47% (-10) HRC: 43% (+14) (Original Post) book_worm May 2016 OP
It is encouraging to see this from the same polster. Thanks. riversedge May 2016 #1
Winning is more than the popular vote, Sanders needs big numbers in each primary, Thinkingabout May 2016 #2
There also may be a sense of people wanting to end the primary race. Feathery Scout May 2016 #3
What are the WV primary rules? Kber May 2016 #4
Modified Primary LiberalFighter May 2016 #10
The more they get to know him, the less they trust him... Surya Gayatri May 2016 #5
Wow thats great workinclasszero May 2016 #6
K & R SunSeeker May 2016 #7
K&R! DemonGoddess May 2016 #8
I was shocked that coal was a big driver away from Hillary sweetloukillbot May 2016 #9
I hope it keeps trending that way SharonClark May 2016 #13
Yeah - I phrased it badly sweetloukillbot May 2016 #14
That's pretty much the essence BlueMTexpat May 2016 #16
Bernie is for a carbon tax bluestateguy May 2016 #19
Hope it is close to that. LiberalFighter May 2016 #11
I was surprised at the narrowing gap also. I still think Sanders is favored in West Virgina, still_one May 2016 #12
Not sure if guns are going to be a big factor here jmowreader May 2016 #15
Good analysis! BlueMTexpat May 2016 #17
You made great points still_one May 2016 #18
America is waking up realmirage May 2016 #20
That's impressive! Glad to see it! (Bernie is toast.) NurseJackie May 2016 #21
If Hillary can even come within 15 - 20 points in this one, that would be enough... anotherproletariat May 2016 #22

Feathery Scout

(218 posts)
3. There also may be a sense of people wanting to end the primary race.
Sat May 7, 2016, 10:00 AM
May 2016

Thus....Hillary is getting some new votes so this we can move on to the GE and fully focus on the *true* threat. Trump.

sweetloukillbot

(11,086 posts)
9. I was shocked that coal was a big driver away from Hillary
Sat May 7, 2016, 11:43 AM
May 2016

Don't they realize that Bernie is even worse on coal than she is?

SharonClark

(10,014 posts)
13. I hope it keeps trending that way
Sat May 7, 2016, 07:05 PM
May 2016

Hillary and Sanders are okay on coal although Hillary is more honest. It's some coal miners and coal company owners who can't see the writing on the wall.

sweetloukillbot

(11,086 posts)
14. Yeah - I phrased it badly
Sat May 7, 2016, 11:21 PM
May 2016

I meant that Sanders is more extreme in his stance than Hillary, yet she is the one getting pilloried for it.

BlueMTexpat

(15,374 posts)
16. That's pretty much the essence
Sun May 8, 2016, 04:18 AM
May 2016

of the campaign against her by the Sanders folks. She and Bernie have essentially the same stands on most issues, except for gun control. Her record shows that she is more effective and actually accomplishes what she sets out to do. His record of "accomplishments" is primarily verbal.

But yes, she is always the one pilloried while Bernie is not. And they say that sexism is NOT a factor. B***S***!

still_one

(92,433 posts)
12. I was surprised at the narrowing gap also. I still think Sanders is favored in West Virgina,
Sat May 7, 2016, 07:03 PM
May 2016

because she has taken a much tougher stand on guns than he has, but this poll is encouraging for sure
Thanks

jmowreader

(50,566 posts)
15. Not sure if guns are going to be a big factor here
Sun May 8, 2016, 03:45 AM
May 2016

Even though Sanders has a "more favorable" NRA rating than Clinton does (iirc he got a D and she an F) Democrats are still widely viewed as gun grabbers.

Some demographics of West Virginia
https://suburbanstats.org/population/how-many-people-live-in-west-virginia

In his favor: LOTS of white people.

Not in his favor: There are more women than men in West Virginia.

REALLY not in his favor: Bernie's base hauls ass out of West Virginia the second they get a chance to.

BlueMTexpat

(15,374 posts)
17. Good analysis!
Sun May 8, 2016, 04:35 AM
May 2016

Mr BlueMTexpat is a WVA native and we usually visit the state annually.

The typical "Bernie base" is not much in evidence there. There is a lot of "state capture" where polluting industries hold sway. It is a state that is difficult for Dems generally, especially liberal Dems. But there are good people there nonetheless and at least some of them remember Bill Clinton fondly, which is another plus in Hillary's favor.

Keeping fingers crossed. All she has to do is to get close and this poll is an encouraging one!

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
21. That's impressive! Glad to see it! (Bernie is toast.)
Sun May 8, 2016, 02:27 PM
May 2016

I wonder if THIS will help the Bernie campaign wake up and come out of their dream.



 

anotherproletariat

(1,446 posts)
22. If Hillary can even come within 15 - 20 points in this one, that would be enough...
Sun May 8, 2016, 02:29 PM
May 2016

since we all know that Sanders has a "huge" deficit to overcome.

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