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Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumHillary Clinton will almost certainly clinch the Democratic nomination on June 7
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/05/11/hillary-clinton-will-almost-certainly-clinch-the-democratic-nomination-on-june-7/Bernie Sanders's back-to-back wins in Indiana and West Virginia give the Vermont senator both bragging rights and increased leverage at July's Democratic convention in Philadelphia. As scolds (like me) insist on pointing out, though, what it does not give him is any increased ability to actually win the nomination. Barring an enormous catastrophe not a small catastrophe Hillary Clinton will clinch the party's nomination after votes come in June 7.
There hasn't been much change to the math underlying that assumption in months. The Republican contest isn't over because Donald Trump clinched a majority before Clinton; he'll do so June 7 as well. It's over because his opponents dropped out, while Sanders hasn't. Trump's hold on his nomination continues to be less secure than Clinton's, but because of the way the Democrats give out delegates, it seems as though the opposite is true.
After last night, Bernie Sanders needs about 66 percent of the remaining pledged Democratic delegates in order to pass Clinton's total. Even though he won most of the delegates last night, he won fewer than he needed to stay on track to pass her. So his magic number the percentage of delegates he needs to win going forward once again went up.
There hasn't been much change to the math underlying that assumption in months. The Republican contest isn't over because Donald Trump clinched a majority before Clinton; he'll do so June 7 as well. It's over because his opponents dropped out, while Sanders hasn't. Trump's hold on his nomination continues to be less secure than Clinton's, but because of the way the Democrats give out delegates, it seems as though the opposite is true.
After last night, Bernie Sanders needs about 66 percent of the remaining pledged Democratic delegates in order to pass Clinton's total. Even though he won most of the delegates last night, he won fewer than he needed to stay on track to pass her. So his magic number the percentage of delegates he needs to win going forward once again went up.
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Hillary Clinton will almost certainly clinch the Democratic nomination on June 7 (Original Post)
BlueMTexpat
May 2016
OP
Campaigns know that if they get a voter to make a financial contribution or attend a rally
SharonClark
May 2016
#7
Fla Dem
(23,774 posts)1. We've known for a while they were beating a dead horse. Posted this in LB
HRC has won 26 primaries to BS's 20.
She has 12,647,581 votes to BS's 9,570,415 votes.
That 56% to BS's 43%.
HRC has won 1,717 pledge delegates to BS's 1437.
She has 501 unpledged delegates to BS's 41.
HRC has a total of 2218 delegates to the 2383 needed for the nomination.
HRC is winning in every facet of the primary process.
There is no path for BS to win the nomination mathematically or otherwise..
BlueMTexpat
(15,374 posts)2. You know that and I know that.
But there are still quite a few in denial.
Fla Dem
(23,774 posts)3. Yes it's extremely difficult to see reason when you have been so committed.
Back at ya....
SharonClark
(10,014 posts)7. Campaigns know that if they get a voter to make a financial contribution or attend a rally
that the voter feels a bit of ownership of the campaign. Sanders has obviously done very well with getting his foot in the door of his supporter's hearts and minds. Some who gave more than they can afford, may feel very let down once he concedes.
skylucy
(3,743 posts)4. BS knows this is over.He is just stringing along his naive followers so they keep sending money. Sad
Did I spell naive correctly?
BlueMTexpat
(15,374 posts)5. You did just fine! :) eom
IamMab
(1,359 posts)8. That 105% is sweet to witness. You lost, Bernie. Go home. nt