Oregon Democratic Presidential Primary: Hillary 48 Sanders 33 Clinton +15

[still_one]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/or/oregon_democratic_presidential_primary-5809.html

It is likely voters, but the sample size seems somewhat small

Nevertheless, I like it

http://www.opb.org/news/series/election-2016/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-oregon-poll/

[LuvLoogie]

1. May it hold

[still_one]

2. kick+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

[LuvLoogie]

4. Some more fun with numbers...

So even if Bernie gets his catch up target 120 delegates out 183 in the next 4 contests leading up to California, Hillary will still get 63 delegates.

This will put her at needing 248 to get 2026 on June 7. She can get that just in California with doing 45% or better, and she only needs about 36% over all when you include the other primaries that day.

[Cha]

3. Hi stillone.. all I can say is Best of Luck to Hillary in Oregon!

[still_one]

13. Absolutely Cha

[StevieM]

5. I hope she campaigns there. Her loss in Indiana was unnecessary. If she had run ads in that state

she would have won. Oregon and Kentucky are winnable, as long as Hillary's team doesn't let themselves be convinced that those states are supposed to be in the Sanders column.

[DemonGoddess]

6. I have to disagree on this one

I live in Indiana. I know for a fact that there were plenty of R crossover votes against her, just from what people I know were saying. All Trump supporters, by the way.

I EXPECTED her to lose the state for a few reasons, including that the gun nuts that live here and think that tightening regulations on firearms means that someone is taking 'em all away.

I was surprised she won my county, but happy that she did. More importantly, given that the primary was open, she DID win the diverse counties (Marion and Lake).

[fleabiscuit]

8. The gun nutters don't register Dem here, and it's closed.

[fleabiscuit]

7. I'm dubious about an add buy now. Seems late.

We got our Oregon ballots in the mail about ten days ago. We can mail them back or drop in secured drop boxes in lots of public places. We dropped ours Saturday. The poll may be accurate, we are loyal democrats here. Got my hopes up.

[SaschaHM]

9. How long does it usually take for Oregon to report results?

[fleabiscuit]

11. Cha probably won't even had dinner yet.

Should be shortly after 8.00 pst.

[BlueMTexpat]

15. IN was an open primary.?

Indies and crossover GOPers were her undoing there, just as they have been in other open primaries.

Once again, ALL primaries should be closed, IMO.

[SaschaHM]

10. I hope she wins and that this poll is accurate because if she loses....

every BS'r, Andrea Mitchell, and MSNBC will point to this as an epic upset even though they have been claiming that Sanders would win here for weeks.

[fleabiscuit]

12. You and me both!

[DLCWIdem]

14. Benchmark poll

I don't know about that poll being accurate there was something said about a large influx of voter registration. However benchmark politics has her up there by about 2 points and they have been pretty accurate this season.

[BlueMTexpat]

16. This looks a bit too optimistic,

IMO, but I will still hope for a victory in OR!

[JSup]

17. When there's a missing...

...percentage Sanders usually gets most of them, unfortunately.

[pandr32]

18. Please oh please!

WA State had no shortage of young white males showing up to caucus and went way too far to Bernie. I really think he got more delegates here than he would of if it had been a closed vote.
Maybe the lone senator who endorsed Bernie (Jeff Merkely) because he was pandering to his supporters in Oregon will change his endorsement now!