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Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
Thu May 12, 2016, 12:58 AM May 2016

MATH! Math, math, math, math

Text from GDP.

Per RCP, Sanders is currently 283 pledged delegates behind.

Before the big June 7th day there are only 183 delegates up for grabs between OR, KY, VI and PR. To get to 200 behind by the end of that stretch, Sanders needs to win 72.7% of all pledged delegates in the next 4 races (133 of 183).

Let's pretend he can do that. There is total of 694 pledged delegates on June 7th between CA, NJ, ND, SD, MT and NM. To make up that wildly unlikely 200 point gap, Bernie needs to win 64.4% of the delegates on this date (447 of 694) just to tie Clinton.

That's brutally unlikely.

Except just one last thing.

DC votes on June 14th. DC has 20 pledged delegates. DC is over 50% black.

So that brutally unlikely hypothetical I laid out above? It still ends in a Clinton pledged delegate victory.

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Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
2. The percentage goes up after every primary. I think most if the
Thu May 12, 2016, 02:47 AM
May 2016

Remaining SD will go to Hillary so he is not going to have enough even with 100% of the remaining delegates.

liberal N proud

(60,334 posts)
4. The BS plan includes stealing delegates in the state conventions
Thu May 12, 2016, 06:50 AM
May 2016

thereby circumventing the primary voters. Will of the people they call it.

I have seen several BSers post just such a plan.


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