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Wed May 18, 2016, 12:30 AM

Preliminary CA projections from Benchmark Politics

They've had a really good record this season. To see the numbers clearly, go to the link and click on the graphic.



Benchmark Politics
‏@benchmarkpol
By popular demand, PRELIMINARY benchmark for California: Clinton 56% - Sanders 44%. #CAPrimary

https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/732786248931102720

I'm assuming they factored in rally attendance, "enthusiasm" and "excitement"

14 replies, 1286 views

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Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
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Arrow 14 replies Author Time Post
Reply Preliminary CA projections from Benchmark Politics (Original post)
Rose Siding May 2016 OP
DemonGoddess May 2016 #1
underthematrix May 2016 #2
Walk away May 2016 #3
SharonClark May 2016 #13
SharonClark May 2016 #14
Surya Gayatri May 2016 #4
BainsBane May 2016 #5
Treant May 2016 #6
jmowreader May 2016 #7
TwilightZone May 2016 #8
SaschaHM May 2016 #9
TwilightZone May 2016 #11
texstad79 May 2016 #10
mcar May 2016 #12

Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Wed May 18, 2016, 12:32 AM

1. He called both races.

Said that Sanders would win OR, and that Hillary would win KY.

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Wed May 18, 2016, 12:41 AM

2. Very interesting.

This is a great post. I love the county by county details.

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Wed May 18, 2016, 12:48 AM

3. But they forgot about the Oligarchs and Billionaires!

And factoring in the rigging too!

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Response to Walk away (Reply #3)

Wed May 18, 2016, 09:04 AM

13. Don't forget the war hawks and the corporatists, too

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Response to SharonClark (Reply #13)

Wed May 18, 2016, 09:04 AM

14. And the people who vote with their vaginas

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Wed May 18, 2016, 12:49 AM

4. K & R most enthusiastically.

 

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Wed May 18, 2016, 01:00 AM

5. Sounds about right.

I'd like to see a bigger margin, but 12 points works.

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Response to BainsBane (Reply #5)

Wed May 18, 2016, 02:04 AM

6. I'll take Clinton +0.001%

and be thrilled with it.

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Response to BainsBane (Reply #5)

Wed May 18, 2016, 02:39 AM

7. 50 percent plus one works

Hillary is only 92 delegates shy of having enough for the nomination. If she takes half of VI, half of PR and half of NJ, she clears the threshold even if Bernie takes 100 percent of California. (Which he won't.)

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Response to jmowreader (Reply #7)

Wed May 18, 2016, 02:42 AM

8. I've been joking for a while that Sanders only needs 106% of California.

My sarcasm might have been more accurate than I thought. haha

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Wed May 18, 2016, 02:43 AM

9. I was told by someone that Bernie would win Latinos 75 to 25....

and take CA

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Response to SaschaHM (Reply #9)

Wed May 18, 2016, 08:39 AM

11. He and his supporters might take it hostage...

But that's about the only way he's going to take it.

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Wed May 18, 2016, 07:44 AM

10. Sounds about right

Demographically CA is similar to NY, but no hometown boost for Hillary.

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Wed May 18, 2016, 08:56 AM

12. K&R

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