Pollster: Clinton Overtakes Sanders in NH

[Historic NY]

Dick Bennett of American Research Group reported yesterday that according to the firm’s latest data, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has surpassed U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders, D-VT, 46 percent to 43 in the NH Democrat first-in-the-nation presidential primary.

Clinton leads among registered Democrats 52 percent to 37 percent for Sanders. Sanders leads solidly among “undeclared” or independent voters who are taking a Democrat primary ballot in February, 54 percent to 36 percent for Clinton.

Details of the live-interviewer telephone survey can be found here.

Sanders leads among men 46 to 42 for Clinton. Clinton leads among women 49 to 41 for Sanders.

“Women, obviously, put Clinton in the lead,” Bennett said in a statement.

Martin O’Malley receives support of 3 percent overall.

While Clinton and Sanders ballot numbers are within the margin of error, there is a 77 percent probability that Clinton is in the lead.

http://patch.com/new-hampshire/merrimack/pollster-clinton-overtakes-sanders-nh-0

[yeoman6987]

1. Quite the Christmas gift.

It will be great when she gets the nomination and then we can get serious about the November general election.

[FloridaBlues]

7. Yep she will take NH. Bern has fallen like a rock

Merry Christmas .
I hope everyone got the presents they wanted!

[Iliyah]

2. K & R

[riversedge]

3. Santa brings great gifts for all the US and for Hillary and her Team -CONGRATULATIONS

[Thinkingabout]

4. We will not stop working, we will keep our focus on the goal.

[Bleacher Creature]

5. If she wins both IA and NH, it's game over.

Because Sanders isn't going to put up much of a showing in SC or just about anywhere on Super Tuesday.

[Tommy2Tone]

6. And then there were none.

Hillary is now leading in every state according to polls. Close in a couple but the rest are high double digits.

?rlvnet=1

[Tarheel_Dem]

8. K&R!

[comradebillyboy]

9. Today's RCP average shows Hillary to be

6 points behind Bernie, which is a slight improvement. Can't put too much faith in a single poll no matter how much we may like it.

[Historic NY]

10. I went to their site this was the last post until they updated using American Research

RCP Average 11/30 - 12/20 -- -- 49.3 43.5

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-3351.html

New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary ARG Sanders 43, Clinton 46, O'Malley 3 Clinton +3

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

[Iliyah]

12. Thanks for the confirmation!

A win in NH and IA, game over.

[Laser102]

11. Best present of all. Thank you.

[Cha]

13. We Can Do It!

[SunSeeker]

14. K & R

[MohRokTah]

15. As a 2008 Obama supporter, I remember well how Obama was going to win New Hampshire.

All of the polls had him winning hands down, then Hillary clobbered him at the real polls.

The New Hampshire primary is retail politics at it's very finest granularity, and given the massive battle in the GOP, the polls could potentially be misleading as many independents going for Sanders in the polls could well end up voting in the GOP primary.