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Mon Feb 22, 2016, 12:22 AM

 

Just did some very very rough math..

And barring some massive shakeup on Super Tuesday and in South Carolina, she is going to walk away with a deficit that he just won't be able to overcome unless he were to dominate her in a bunch of states, and besides the NE states, his wins are all going to be close where he only edges her out by a few delegates. It's going to be tough for Bernie to make up the deficit she is going to have in these southern states.

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Reply Just did some very very rough math.. (Original post)
HillDawg Feb 2016 OP
BainsBane Feb 2016 #1
HillDawg Feb 2016 #2
jmowreader Feb 2016 #3
HillDawg Feb 2016 #4
BlueCaliDem Feb 2016 #5
HillDawg Feb 2016 #6
BlueCaliDem Feb 2016 #8
Name removed Feb 2016 #7
BlueCaliDem Feb 2016 #9
Gothmog Feb 2016 #10
SunSeeker Feb 2016 #11

Response to HillDawg (Original post)

Mon Feb 22, 2016, 12:23 AM

1. I think you're right.

Nevada was an important bellwether.

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Response to BainsBane (Reply #1)

Mon Feb 22, 2016, 12:26 AM

2. Even then,

 

It is such a small number of delegates, I don't know how much of an impact it would have had unless he made huge gains on the momentum factor. That really hurts that. And, if she dominates South Carolina like it looks like she might, I think Super Tuesday is really going to start putting things into perspective.

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Response to HillDawg (Original post)

Mon Feb 22, 2016, 12:38 AM

3. Do you have time to slightly edit this?

Change "she is going to" to "he is going to."

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Response to jmowreader (Reply #3)

Mon Feb 22, 2016, 12:46 AM

4. You have the night shift

 

For the grammar police? Just kidding, thanks for the catch

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Response to HillDawg (Reply #4)

Mon Feb 22, 2016, 01:06 AM

5. Well, jmowreader has a point. It's a little confusing to read but after a couple of times I

got what you meant. Otherwise, your post is pretty spot on. I don't see how Bernie will be able to overcome that deficit after Hillary wins so many States so handily. I just don't see a path for him to win the nomination. Let's not forget that as she gains momentum after SC and then begins winning the Southern States, it's going to be extremely hard for him to win a sizable amount of delegates to beat her...and the super delegates (a Tad Devine idea) will certainly not switch to him.

I just don't see a pathway for him.

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Response to BlueCaliDem (Reply #5)

Mon Feb 22, 2016, 01:08 AM

6. I agree

 

With what he pointed out, was not meaning to come off in a rude way

If South Carolina and Super Tuesday go they way they appear to be going, that will pretty much ruin all of his momentum and the delegates speak for themselves. He could do it, but man it would be difficult and he'd have to start pulling off some major upsets.

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Response to HillDawg (Reply #6)

Mon Feb 22, 2016, 01:24 AM

8. :-) You didn't come across that way. I know you were j/k

Hillary has all the momentum now, and after she wins SC, it's only going to get more feverish. The other States after Super Tuesday, although maybe inclined to support Bernie, will slowly switch to her because everyone likes to bet on a winner - and she looks like one. So we'll see how that goes, but knowing the American people the way I do, I don't believe Bernie can overcome the growing enthusiasm for Hillary now. I really don't.

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Response to HillDawg (Original post)


Response to Name removed (Reply #7)

Mon Feb 22, 2016, 01:26 AM

9. And that's entirely possible barring a sudden upset win for Bernie in SC. But I don't see it.

Come Super Tuesday, it's pretty much over for him if he can't win some big States. Unfortunately for Bernie, most of those States are in the South and Democrats there are more moderate to conservative. So Wasserman could be right: Hillary can end the race in less than two weeks.

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Response to HillDawg (Original post)

Mon Feb 22, 2016, 01:40 AM

10. The math is against Sanders

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Response to Gothmog (Reply #10)

Mon Feb 22, 2016, 02:51 AM

11. Yes, in so many ways. nt

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