For those who are curious--finally a Missouri Poll

[book_worm]

The former Secretary of State Clinton leads Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, 47 percent to 40 percent, with 13 percent undecided, according to the Docking Institute of Public Affairs Poll for Missouri newspapers.

http://www.stltoday.com/news/national/govt-and-politics/trump-clinton-have-slight-poll-leads-ahead-of-tuesday-missouri/article_72706d3d-8bbd-5873-8c7e-e6543072b341.html

Very close with still lots of undecideds. My feeling is that Missouri will be close and that Bernie might pull it off. But with all the time HRC, Bill and Chelsea are spending in the state we are going all out to win it. We don't write off any states because in the end it's all about delegates. It all comes down to GOTV.

[Buzz Clik]

1. If MO breaks even, this is another setback for Sanders.

[Treant]

2. I'm tentatively

unskewing (ha!) this to 55-45 for Sanders on Tuesday. That way I'm unlikely to be disappointed and actually have a modest chance of being thrilled as to how well Clinton did!

(Sometimes cynicism is just a gateway to optimism, and that's where I am here).

[book_worm]

3. That is a very good attitude and I'm pretty much with you

on what the final tally might be--and if it is HRC will have almost as many delegates as Bernie from MO.

[rock]

5. I too find your assessment quite fair

With so many undecideds in the air, I feel there's excellent chances for Bernie to come out on top.

[72DejaVu]

8. Old saying in politics:

Always run like you're 5 points behind.

[George II]

4. Even so, it will be a close split of their 75 delegates. Added to the huge wins in at least three..

....of the other four states, and a close split in Ohio (worst case scenario, she probably will win by 5-10%), she'll come out of Tuesday with close to 120 more delegates than Sanders. That will up her overall lead to about 330.

[artyteacher]

6. yup eom

[Treant]

10. Has any candidate

EVER come back from an over 300 (or an over 200, for that matter) deficit to win the nomination?

Realizing that the delegate system hasn't been in place all that long, in the sense of number of competitive nominations, of course. But Clinton was a strong candidate and couldn't make up a deficit of 40.

[vdogg]

7. Bernie has this one

I'm not even thinking about MO. I think we get Fl, NC, and IL. FL will get called immediately. NC will be closer than we want it to be but still comfortable. IL gets called early, 60/40. MO and OH will be too close to call.

[Thinkingabout]

9. Sanders will need to do more than break even on the delegate count for the rest of the primaries.

He is too far behind to overtake Hillary in the pledged delegate count. Also, he is far behind in the super delegate count, it is not in the pathway for Sanders to overtake Hillary.