Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumPopular Vote Targets & Sanders Path to Victory
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/03/29/1507694/-Popular-Vote-Targets-Sanders-Path-to-VictoryIf he can beat all of these popular vote percentage targets to make up 25 pledged delegates somewhere, he can win the pledged count and the nomination. Each time he gets less than this, especially in larger states, he falls behind. Considering how high these requirements are, including him winning New York and California and getting razor thin margins in MD and NJ, Bernie Sanders chances of winning the delegate count are about as likely as Hillary Clinton getting hit by a bus on the way to the convention, which is probably the only way he could become the democratic
nominee.
Amazingly, despite this nearly impossible run by Bernie Sanders that would require him to make massive inroads with every single demographic group, including 3 or 4x the margin with non-white voters that has been getting thus far, Hillary Clinton would still win by 25 pledged delegates.
So in summary: what is Bernies roadmap forward? He must get above the following percentages in these states going forward:
Wisconsin: 60
Wyoming: 80
New York: 52
Connecticut: 55
Delaware: 55
Maryland: 47
Pennsylvania: 55
Rhode Island: 60
Indiana: 65
Guam: 50
West Virginia: 65
Kentucky: 60
Oregon: 65
Virgin Islands: 50
Puerto Rico: 50
California: 55
Montana: 80
New Jersey: 47
New Mexico: 60
North Dakota: 80
South Dakota: 70
DC: 50
He wont ........math
stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)Iamaartist
(3,300 posts)Iamaartist
(3,300 posts)I worry about is the foreign workers his hired in a lot of in our states by some articles I have read some of these workers he could have place in other states as New work and other places
that volunteers were deployed in other states was wide spread don't know how that will play out .......... just don't trust him......
JustAnotherGen
(31,879 posts)Of winning NJ.
Treant
(1,968 posts)in similarly tropical conditions over here in PA as well. There's no way he can win this state.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Do they genuinely not believe them? Or is their enthusiasm all for show? Or do they honestly believe that they can "wish away" the facts and turn things around if they simply cheer louder and post more furiously?
Iamaartist
(3,300 posts)He cheers as his at a sports game but kids seem to like all that .cheering.....but that's not what this election is all about just cheering ........we need Hillary the experience one who knows all I trust nobody but her .......
pandr32
(11,611 posts)If we would only "listen" and quit "voting against our own self-interest"...sigh
Basic LA
(2,047 posts)Sarandon /Berniacs use bird math!