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MrWendel

(1,881 posts)
Fri Apr 8, 2016, 01:55 PM Apr 2016

Clinton Leads Sanders 56%-38% in New York

http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/4/8/1512669/-Clinton-Leads-Sanders-56-38-in-New-York

By Scan



Start spreading the news...the end of the Democratic primary is near.

Clinton leads Sanders 56%-38% in New York, according to a new Emerson College poll. Don't worry about this opening line, however, as their last poll was clearly an outlier. This margin is about what we’d expect when looking at all the polls.

Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders has gained significant ground on Hillary Clinton in the upcoming New York primary, shaving off 30 points from the massive lead Clinton held in New York just three weeks ago. He now trails the former Secretary of State by 18 points (56% to 38%). In a March 17 ECPS poll, conducted in the days following Clinton’s decisive performance on Super Tuesday II, she was winning by 48 points (71% to 23%) among Democratic primary voters in New York.


Just to be crystal clear: Bernie did not gain thirty points in three weeks. This is the only poll showing such a wild, absurd swing. A 48-point win would be fantastic, of course, but an 18-point margin would be just as deadly to Bernie's remaining nomination chances.

Furthermore, there's some data in here that suggests Clinton's solid lead isn't going anywhere.

(More in link)
11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Clinton Leads Sanders 56%-38% in New York (Original Post) MrWendel Apr 2016 OP
Great news mainstreetonce Apr 2016 #1
I wish! Cha Apr 2016 #2
Thanks...Only 23% listed their top priority as dissatisfaction with government Lucinda Apr 2016 #3
It won't be much longer now. The wait is almost over. NurseJackie Apr 2016 #4
Positive news...thanks. Surya Gayatri Apr 2016 #5
It can't come soon enough! liberal N proud Apr 2016 #6
Speed the day. Starry Messenger Apr 2016 #7
Stronger Loyalty too! Her Sister Apr 2016 #8
Wonderful! NastyRiffraff Apr 2016 #9
K&R Native Apr 2016 #10
That's a bigger spread than most polls are showing SharonClark Apr 2016 #11

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)
3. Thanks...Only 23% listed their top priority as dissatisfaction with government
Fri Apr 8, 2016, 02:03 PM
Apr 2016

and Bernie's only leading demographic was young voters. Both of those elements work in Hillary's favor.

I would have liked to have seen the numbers for each age bracket, but all in all that was great news.

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
4. It won't be much longer now. The wait is almost over.
Fri Apr 8, 2016, 02:07 PM
Apr 2016

I'll be so glad to see Bernie head back to the Senate where he belongs (for however much longer it may last.)

 

Her Sister

(6,444 posts)
8. Stronger Loyalty too!
Fri Apr 8, 2016, 03:08 PM
Apr 2016
However, Clinton commands higher loyalty: 76% compared to 50% for Sanders.



To recap: strong support across various demographics, much higher loyalty, and a gender gap that may be getting even more extreme after the whole "unqualified" fiasco.


http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/4/8/1512669/-Clinton-Leads-Sanders-56-38-in-New-York

SharonClark

(10,291 posts)
11. That's a bigger spread than most polls are showing
Fri Apr 8, 2016, 07:14 PM
Apr 2016

Hope it's a trend because Hillary needs to big win in NY to stop Sanders' momentum.

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