Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumThe Closed Primary stretch is about to start (5 of the next 6 states with 607 delegates)
To date delegates awarded via fully closed primaries:
Clinton - 224 (63.5%)
Sanders - 129 (36.5%)
Let's assume Sanders outperforms the past and only loses these states by an average of 15%. Hillary's lead from just those 5 states increases 90+ delegates.
The second half of April is going to be so much fun!
IamMab
(1,359 posts)...the mindless pablum of "states won in a row" and "momentum." 9 days of knowing the NY media is circling like vultures on any little thing to amplify and distort.
I just wish the vote could be this week. And then another 5 states on the 26th. How do so many of these things end up on Tuesdays?
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)And:
Closed primary
Last day to change party registration to vote in the primary was in October
Last day for new voters to register to vote in the primary was almost three weeks ago
Minimal interference from "independents" and a large, mature dedicated registered Democratic population = a massive Hill for BS to climb.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)- Sanders loses by 10+: Game over
- Sanders wins by 5+: Sanders gets huge momentum swing
- Close vote (within 5 points either way): the primary season will not be resolved until June.
LiberalFighter
(51,020 posts)of which only 4 of 6 states are available. Sanders will need over 64.5% of remaining delegates instead of the current 56.5%. It will be higher if Clinton wins the other 2 states.