Has there been any discussion anywhere...

[LAS14]

... of the fact that Sanders has at least twice way outperformed the polls? I'm thinking Michigan and Wisconsin. So I don't get to feeling super comfortable with a 10 point lead in New York. What's the story here?

tia
las

[Her Sister]

1. 3 words

"Primary" and "closed" and "diversity"

[1StrongBlackMan]

3. Good Answer.

[Her Sister]

2. 538 Nate Siver twitters on NY

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/719236828600147968


Nate SilverVerified account
‏@NateSilver538

Not only is New York a closed primary -- it's super closed. Deadline for switching party registration was in *October*.

In Wisconsin, Clinton tied Sanders among Democrats despite being blown out overall. And NY demographics much better for Clinton than WI.

Nate Silver ‏@NateSilver538 Apr 10

Ordinarily, I'd be skeptical of polls showing Clinton with a ~15% lead over Sanders in New York, but the closed primary thing is a big deal.

[George II]

5. Very true - there will be no last minute registration changes or independent voters in NY.

So at this late stage, 7 days from the primary, there won't be big differences between the polls and the actual vote.

[Her Sister]

13. Yes in NY you had to feel like a DEMOCRAT

since last October! In other words "Tried and True Blue Democrat with the credentials to show for it!! We ain't playing games here! Not messing around with our Party!

[yallerdawg]

4. How about 14 point lead?

It just keeps getting better!

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/nbc-poll-trump-clinton-hold-sizable-leads-new-york-n554311

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ny/new_york_democratic_presidential_primary-4221.html

[Cary]

6. Come on

What's the story? The story is that Hillary Clinton is the likely nominee, and Bernie Sanders is a long shot at best. Why? Because she has more votes. A lot more, in fact. And with the remaining states it's extremely likely that she will end up with a lot more votes.

Who exactly do you think you're fooling here?

[jehop61]

7. Please

take this discussion to a place other than the Hillary group. You are not wanted here.

[LAS14]

8. Do a search on my posts. I posted..

... this legitimate question in the Hillary Group so I could get information "in private."

[BlueMTexpat]

11. LAS is an HRC Groupie.

This is not a faux concern post.

And there are lots of good answers.

[Her Sister]

9. I vouch for LAS14

She is a HRC Group member. LOL!

[BlueMTexpat]

10. Me too! eom

[LAS14]

12. Thanks, folks. Reminder - don't REC or this will show up in Greatest Threads.

[LAS14]

14. Good to hear from Politico.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/clinton-sanders-new-york-222032