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[progree]

This message was self-deleted by its author (progree) on Wed Oct 8, 2025, 01:28 AM. When the original post in a discussion thread is self-deleted, the entire discussion thread is automatically locked so new replies cannot be posted.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

1. SP500 dropped like a rock. Opened up 0.40%, held 20 minutes, since has swung down a total of more than 1.0%

Now down about 0.60% from yesterday's close.

Big swing.

Was a September rate cut (now 100% of the experts are expecting one) already priced in and the economic data frightening investors more?

[progree]

2. Rate cut

Was a September rate cut (now 100% of the experts are expecting one) already priced in and the economic data frightening investors more?

https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
Since yesterday, the traders' expectation of a HALF POINT rate cut has increased from 0% to 10.2%

Before the 9/17 Fed rate decision, there will still be the producer price index, the consumer price index, consumer sentiment, and retail sales reports coming out, so things can change
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar

At the moment, S&P 500 off 0.40% from yesterday's close.