Economy
Related: About this forumHow the White House is using misleading comparisons to make inflation sound better - CNN The Source
The year-over-year inflation rate in January, the month Donald Trump returned to the White House, was 3.0%. - Aired on 12/11/2025.
Skittles
(169,093 posts)is just HOW OFTEN we the people SHOP and just how PRICE-SAVVY we are
Rhiannon12866
(248,784 posts)He keeps using the word "groceries" like it's new to him.
Skittles
(169,093 posts)seriously, he finds the word GROCERIES, you know, OLD-FASHIONED! Of course he has never grocery-shopped, not ever once in his entire privileged life....nor does he give a FUCK what groceries costs us......I'm also very tired of Trump.2 and the collective media of completely forgetting how a fucking PANDEMIC caused huge inflation, NOT Biden
Rhiannon12866
(248,784 posts)There's all this news about him being responsible for the boats that were blown up, killing their occupants, but that number is dwarfed by the number who died following his Covid advice. Human lives mean nothing to him.
progree
(12,677 posts)Last edited Sun Dec 14, 2025, 06:37 PM - Edit history (2)
TLDR version: Year-over-year inflation has been rising for 5 straight months and is now at 3.0%, which is 1.5 X the Federal Reserve's 2% target. And in the last 3 months, prices have increased 0.9% which annualizes to a 3.6% inflation rate, which is 1.8 X The Federal Reserve's target. Here is the official data /END TLDR
CPI (seasonally adjusted)
https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUSR0000SA0
At the top right, click on More Formatting Options
On the left are some check boxes. Besides the "Original Data Value" one which is already checked,
Check the 1-Month Percent Change and the 3-Month Percent Change and the 12-Month Percent Change checkboxes
Then click the "Retrieve Data" button.
On the one month change one, there were no negative inflation months since May 2020, except April 2025 (-0.1%), which was followed by +0.2% the following month. So since May 2020, prices have overall on average been increasing every month except for one slight one-month dip, which was reversed the following month and then some.
As for peak inflation on a year-over-year basis (the bottom table and graph, repeated just below, this is the 12-month one), that was June 2022 at 9.0% (going all the way back to January 2015, the default start date of the graph and tables).
If you set the start date all the way back to 1970, the peak year-over-year inflation was 14.6% in March and April of 1980.
Year-over-year inflation has been climbing for 5 straight months, and is now at 3.0%. So if you're hearing that inflation is coming down, no it's not. And this is from the admin's own numbers.
Here is the year-over-year (aka 12-month) CPI graph and table from January 2015 to September 2025 (the latest)

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I like the 3-month average as it's a more recent measure than the 12-month one, but more than a "one-off" single month data point. In the last 3 months (the middle table and graph, repeated below), prices increased 0.9%. That annualizes to about a 3.6% inflation rate (using the actual index values for the calculation, and taking into account compounding, it comes to 3.62%. And rising).
The 3 month rolling average, % change over 3 months:

These are percent increases over 3 months. To roughly annualize, multiply the numbers by 4