USA Dollar Crashes - Joe Blogs

[TexasTowelie]

The US dollar has had one of its weakest years in nearly a decade — and the move in 2025 has caught many people by surprise.

In this video, I break down how the US dollar performed in 2025, using the latest estimates from major currency indices. While the dollar is often seen as a safe haven, the numbers show it lagged behind many of the world’s major currencies.

I compare the US dollar’s fall of around 9.4% with other leading currencies and rank them from worst to best performer. What stands out is that currencies such as the British pound, euro, Swiss franc and Swedish krona all strengthened noticeably over the year.

We also look at why this matters:
• Why a weaker dollar is a problem for the US as a net importer
• How higher import costs and tariffs can feed through into prices
• Why any boost to exporters can be offset by higher input costs and inflation
• And why expectations around further interest rate cuts remain important for the outlook

This video takes a data-led look at where the US dollar stands now, what drove the weakness in 2025, and what it could mean going forward.

Chapters:
0:00 Intro
0:59 US DOLLAR
7:23 WHY?
10:25 DONALD TRUMP
12:30 INFLATION
14:30 DEFICIT
16:44 IMPLICATIONS

[Aussie105]

1. Not seeing much movement in the US $ to AU $ rate.

Firmly set at 66 cents US to the AU dollar.

It was AU $1.10 to US $1 years ago. Many years ago. IIRC.

[GreatGazoo]

2. "caught many people by surprise" but Gold ripped all year

so many DID expect the decline to continue.

When Powell gets replaced in May it will likely get worse.

That guy, "Joe Blogs", is a clickbaiting doomer. I see his titles from 2 years ago "Bank Run USA Panic", France, Turkey, India, China all allegedly collapsing and having "worthless currency". Meanwhile every 8th video is "Win my 250K beachhouse"

Contrast that with these guys. Top level analysis. Reviews how the system will change trading rules or unwound trades instantly and without warning whenever it needs to. Reviews what happened with the Hunt Brothers and parallels to today. Very reality-based:

[TexasTowelie]

3. I'm not going to get into an argument with you regarding any particular blogger.

You are feel to post whatever content in your own OP as allowed by DU rules, but hijacking this thread to discourage people from watching the content and pushing your preferred source is inappropriate. Thanks.

BTW, I had a lot of friends who got into the silver boom in the late 70s and they ended up losing most of their investments.

[GreatGazoo]

4. No one is "hijacking this thread" (?!) Yeesh.

If you don't like discussing economics then I feel a bit baited and confused by your OP.

Yes the dollar is down 10%

Spot Gamma explains how that late 70s silver crash happened and does so because there are parallels to right now. They changed the rules on silver again last weekend. They change the rules in the stock market as well. DUers with 401Ks should look into how these things happen IMHO.

I will avoid responding to your OPs. It is disturbing to be attacked merely for trying to have an informed discussion here.

[TexasTowelie]

5. I'm not intending to discourage discussion.

However, the first impression that I received from your reply is that I should drop one blogger and start using Spot Gamma instead. More than half of your reply was discouraging other members not to watch the video that I posted, so if you want to call it diverting rather than hijacking then I won't have any issue.

I don't know whether I'll review the video you posted or not--that's why I suggest that you post your own OP. However, I will point out that I've been posting Joe Blogs for over three years on DU. Love him or hate him, that brings familiarity and with that the knowledge to separate reality from hysteria. Unless you (and many others) are willing to make that type of commitment to familiarize the audience with the content creator, then it is going to be difficult for Spot Gamma to establish any traction on DU considering their subscriber base is less than 10% of Joe Blogs.

My apologies if you consider it clickbait--others will call it successful marketing. It's a matter of perspective.

[GreatGazoo]

6. We think very differently

I am not here to promote anyone's YouTube channel or discourage anyone from looking at whatever they want to look at. I don't "love or hate" random strangers who make YouTube videos. I don't evaluate financial information based on how many subscribers a channel has but rather, with financial videos, by looking at how well their prior content has aged and how their predictions turned out. I think that is fair.

I'm the youngest of 11 children and very used to having lively discussions. I worked with NYMEX traders and NYSE floor traders and got as comfortable as one can be with having obscenely frank discussions about how the markets work, how they are rigged and gamed. Much of that is useful information for those trying to navigate retirement as the USD declines but I will discuss it elsewhere.

Your response has helped me understand our differences. I hope to use that understanding to avoid conflict in the future.

[TexasTowelie]

7. Thank you for understanding and I also have a better grasp on your perspective.

In comparison, my knowledge and perspective about economics is limited (pedestrian?) compared to someone with your experience. It sounds like you are more of a debater while I'm oriented more towards being an information provider (even when the info is dubious). Both have their positive and negative points.

Peace and prosperity to you for the new year.