Environment & Energy
Related: About this forumComing Soon To An Atmosphere Near You - Permanent 400+ CO2 Content
The world is hurtling towards an era when global concentrations of carbon dioxide never again dip below the 400 parts per million (ppm) milestone, as two important measuring stations sit on the point of no return. The news comes as one important atmospheric measuring station at Cape Grim in Australia is poised on the verge of 400ppm for the first time. Sitting in a region with stable CO2 concentrations, once that happens, it will never get a reading below 400ppm.
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Meanwhile another station in the northern hemisphere may have gone above the 400ppm line for the last time, never to dip below it again. Were going into very new territory, James Butler, director of the global monitoring division at the US National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration, told the Guardian.
When enough CO2 is pumped into the atmosphere from burning fossil fuels, the seasonal cycles that drive the concentrations up and down throughout the year will eventually stop dipping the concentration below the 400ppm mark. The 400ppm figure is just symbolic, but its psychologically powerful, says Butler.
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In the southern hemisphere, the seasonal cycle is less pronounced and atmospheric levels of CO2 hardly drop, usually just slowing in the southern hemisphere summer months. This week scientists revealed to Fairfax Media that Cape Grim had a reading of 399.9ppm on 6 May. Within weeks it would pop above 400ppm and never return. We wouldnt have expected to reach the 400ppm mark so early, said David Etheridge, an atmospheric scientist from the CSIRO, which runs the Cape Grim station. With El Nino, the ocean essentially caps off its ability to take up heat so the concentrations are growing fast as warmer land areas release carbon. So we would have otherwise expected it to happen later in the year.
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http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/may/11/worlds-carbon-dioxide-concentration-teetering-on-the-point-of-no-return
Delphinus
(11,830 posts)were we saying 350 ... ?
GliderGuider
(21,088 posts)over the "unscientific" use of the word "never".
The 100,000 years it would take Mother Nature to get us back from 400 to 280 kind of takes the sparkle out of their whine.