How fast will we need to adapt to climate change?

[OKIsItJustMe]

https://carnegiescience.edu/news/how-fast-will-we-need-adapt-climate-change

[font face=Serif][font size=5]How fast will we need to adapt to climate change?[/font]

Tuesday, October 04, 2016

[font size=3]Stanford, CA— What would we do differently if sea level were to rise one foot per century versus one foot per decade? Until now, most policy and research has focused on adapting to specific amounts of climate change and not on how fast that climate change might happen.

Using sea-level rise as a case study, researchers at Carnegie’s Department of Global Ecology have developed a quantitative model that considers different rates of sea-level rise, in addition to economic factors, and shows how consideration of rates of change affect optimal adaptation strategies. If the sea level will rise slowly, it could still make sense to build near the shoreline, but if the sea level is going to rise quickly, then a buffer zone along the shoreline might make more sense.

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The researchers analyzed how the rate of sea-level rise affects economic decision making in coastal areas in four scenarios. In the first scenario, there is no adaptation, and people build on land that will be flooded. In the second scenario, people take into consideration some future, specific amount of sea level rise, and create a no-build buffer zone prohibiting development along the coast. In the third scenario, people adapt to ongoing rates of change and consider whether buildings are likely to be flooded during their economically productive lifetime. In the last scenario, people try to adapt by protecting themselves with dikes or seawalls.

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While the researchers focused on sea-level rise, they believe that consideration of rates of climate change and sea-level rise should be taken into account in other areas of adaption, including adaptation of agriculture, buildings, and other sectors. The authors point out that their study represents a first step in understanding practical approaches to adaptation, and that more research is needed to understand and manage the response of both human and natural systems to increased rates of change.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/104007

[vlyons]

1. If you own ocean shore front property Miami, Malibu, Houston, Long Island, etc

sell now and move to higher ground.

[Warpy]

2. No shit. I've never really understood that need to be right on the water

because I spent enough of my kidhood with hurricanes every fall to know how quickly that water can turn nasty, whether it's a sweet meandering river inland or the beach. Give me the mountains any old day. Nobody's going to be able to put up a condo big enough to fuck up my view of a 10,600+ foot peak unless it's in the back yard, in which case I'll be on the blower to the zoning board tout de suite.

But yeah, after the first 2 months you're used to the million dollar water view, so might as well sell to another sucker.

[TXCritter]

3. I've been prepared since 1976. Where have y'all been?

We HAVE had warning about this since 1896. None of this is new.