Shocked, Shocked!! IPCC Projects That We Will Exceed 1.5C Climate Goal By 2040

[hatrack]

OSLO (Reuters) - Global warming is on course to exceed the most stringent goal set in the Paris agreement by around 2040, threatening economic growth, according to a draft report that is the U.N.’s starkest warning yet of the risks of climate change.

Governments can still cap temperatures below the strict 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7° Fahrenheit) ceiling agreed in 2015 only with “rapid and far-reaching” transitions in the world economy, according to the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

The final government draft, obtained by Reuters and dated June 4, is due for publication in October in South Korea after revisions and approval by governments. It will be the main scientific guide for combating climate change.

“If emissions continue at their present rate, human-induced warming will exceed 1.5°C by around 2040,” according to the report, which broadly reaffirms findings in an earlier draft in January but is more robust, after 25,000 comments from experts and a wider pool of scientific literature. The Paris climate agreement, adopted by almost 200 nations in 2015, set a goal of limiting warming to “well below” a rise of 2°C above pre-industrial times while “pursuing efforts” for the tougher 1.5° goal.

EDIT

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-climatechange-report-exclusive/exclusive-global-warming-set-to-exceed-1-5c-slow-growth-u-n-draft-idUSKBN1JA1HD

[hunter]

1. We're not quitting fossil fuels, so we have to figure out sane ways of moving entire communities...

... that become unviable because of global warming.

"Sorry, you're on your own folks!" is not an ethical way of dealing with this problem.

I think moving entire communities is important. Humans are communal, social creatures. Dispersing individuals to the wind to fend for themselves isn't ethical.

If some island has gone underwater then we need to find a way to move its people to another place, even preserving in some manner the structures that are most important to them.