Environment & Energy
Related: About this forumBy 2050, the U.S. will lose $83 billion a year because of all the nature we've destroyed
Turns out, we use a lot of natural processesbees to pollinate, rivers to irrigate crops, reefs to act as flood protection. When theyre gone, its going to get expensive.
The world economy depends on nature, from coral reefs that protect coastal cities from flooding to insects that pollinate crops. But by the middle of the century, the loss of key ecosystem services could cost the world $479 billion each year. The U.S. will lose more than any other country, with an $83 billion loss to the GDP per year by 2050.
Thats a conservative estimate. The projection comes from a report, called Global Futures, from World Wildlife Fund, which looked at only six of the services that nature provides and how those might change because of the impacts of climate breakdown, lost wildlife habitat, and other human-caused destruction of nature. (Many other services will also be impacted but cant currently be accurately modeled; the study also doesnt take into account the possibility of tipping points that lead to sudden, catastrophic losses of natural services.) By 2050, if the world continues on its current path, the global economy could lose $327 billion a year as we lose natural coastal protection from coral reefs, mangrove forests, and other natural systems. Another $128 billion could be lost annually from forests and peatlands that store carbon. Agriculture could lose $15 billion from lost pollinators and $19 billion from reduced water availability. Food costs are likely to go up, threatening food security in some regions.
In the U.S., the biggest losses will come from lost coastal protection and losses in marine fisheries. Because of the size of the U.S. economy, it will lose most in absolute terms. But developing countries will be hit hardest in terms of the percentage of GDP lost; Madagascar tops that list, followed by Togo, Vietnam, and Mozambique.
https://www.fastcompany.com/90463133/by-2050-the-u-s-will-lose-83-billion-a-year-because-of-all-the-nature-weve-destroyed
Moostache
(9,895 posts)The rosy predictions and projections over the last 3 decades have CONSISTENTLY underplayed the actual impacts to avoid making people too angry and to protect the profits of the fossil fuel industry.
Once the climate refugees start fleeing the destruction in the next decade, the shit is REALLY going to hit the fan...we are utterly unprepared for any of this. What is going to happen in the 2020's and 2030's is going to make the 20th century World Wars like like a bunch of pikers. BILLIONS are going to die and die horrifically. There is a better than average chance that we wipe of humanity entirely along with the mass extinction already well-underway.
If anyone is tempted to believe the government projections or proclamations, just remember who is currently in charge and prepare for the cold shudder down your spine...
Nay
(12,051 posts)grim joke! It's going to be a full-on starvation scenario, with millions of coastal refugees tent camping everywhere and more millions simply dying of hunger, gun violence and disease.
Moostache
(9,895 posts)I fear the intentional detonation of nuclear weapons to create areas that refugees would be unable to cross, or worse yet, the triggering of direct nuclear confrontations between nations over the immigration issues in the future.
We are riding on such a dangerous precipice and with the equivalent of a drunk driver at the wheel...literally ANYTHING is possible with this situation and the things we once thought impossible are actually drifting into the probable territory.
Mickju
(1,803 posts)It's going to be grim and a lot sooner than most people think. Even though I'm 75, I think a lot of it could happen in my lifetime. Of course, I could drop dead tomorrow.
NickB79
(19,233 posts)5C of warming by 2100, due to better modeling of clouds in a warming world. And those models don't even take into account non-linear positive feedbacks like thawing permafrost or burning forests.
I've effectively become a liberal version of a doomsday prepper thanks to climate change and the future my 9 yr old daughter gets to inherit. I always shit-talked my ancestors for settling in the frozen woods of Minnesota, but now I'm thanking them knowing our area will likely be a climate refuge compared to the coasts or deserts.
ariadne0614
(1,727 posts)Theres a new series on MSNBC, starting this Sunday, addressing the impact of the climate crisis on our food supply. Maybe the disappearance of coffee and chocolate will shake us out of our torpor.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/whats-eating-america-a-new-limited-series-on-msnbc-with-andrew-zimmern/vp-BBZe5qi