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Eugene

(61,843 posts)
Thu Jul 16, 2020, 03:54 AM Jul 2020

Climate change makes freak Siberian heat 600 times likelier

Related: Prolonged Siberian heat attributed to climate change (UK Met Office)

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Source: Associated Press

Climate change makes freak Siberian heat 600 times likelier

By SETH BORENSTEIN
July 15, 2020

Nearly impossible without man-made global warming, this year’s freak Siberian heat wave is producing climate change’s most flagrant footprint of extreme weather, a new flash study says.

International scientists released a study Wednesday that found the greenhouse effect multiplied the chance of the region’s prolonged heat by at least 600 times, and maybe tens of thousands of times. In the study, which has not yet gone through peer review, the team looked at Siberia from January to June, including a day that hit 100 degrees (38 degrees Celsius) for a new Arctic record.

Scientists from the United Kingdom, Russia, France, Netherlands, Germany and Switzerland used 70 climate models running thousands of complex simulations comparing current conditions to a world without man-made warming from the burning of coal, oil and gas. They found that without climate change the type of prolonged heat that hit Siberia would happen once in 80,000 years, “effectively impossible without human influence,” said study lead author Andrew Ciavarella, a scientist at the UK Met Office.

This study, coordinated by World Weather Attribution, was done in two weeks and hasn’t yet been put through the microscope of peer review and published in a major scientific journal. But the researchers who specialize in these real-time studies to search for fingerprints of climate change in extreme events usually do get their work later published in a peer-reviewed journal and use methods that outside scientists say are standard and proven. World Weather Attribution’s past work has found some weather extremes were not triggered by climate change.

-snip-

Read more: https://apnews.com/527ac4ec97e62a49a55af7c77e96d3c8

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Climate change makes freak Siberian heat 600 times likelier (Original Post) Eugene Jul 2020 OP
If I were Mother Earth, I'd be punishing us so severely. Dem2theMax Jul 2020 #1
God doesn't scare me. I don't believe in him. tecelote Jul 2020 #2
I only hope that I live at high enough altitude.... diverdownjt Jul 2020 #3
You better be high enough! tecelote Jul 2020 #6
"Oh, but it's just Cyclical" Damn Yellowdawg Dem Jul 2020 #4
Trillions of tons Mercurian Jul 2020 #5

diverdownjt

(701 posts)
3. I only hope that I live at high enough altitude....
Thu Jul 16, 2020, 06:32 AM
Jul 2020

More extreme flooding is coming...more extreme hurricanes...

I hope I live high enough.....Denver , in case you were wondering.

Mercurian

(48 posts)
5. Trillions of tons
Thu Jul 16, 2020, 07:04 AM
Jul 2020

Of methane and CO2 from 100,000+ years of rotting peat kept partially frozen, now finally thawing out. That's the environmental elephant in the room.

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