As Of 10/25, Arctic Ice Cover @ Lowest Fall Extent In The Instrumental Record, Has Been For Weeks
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In the 1980s, about 80% of the Arctic Ocean and its surrounding seas were frozen in thick, old ice that mostly survived the summer melt, said James Overland, an oceanographer with the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) who has studied the Arctic for decades. Now much of that has to refreeze each winter. We did not expect to see this so soon.
Across the Arctic, ice is now thawing earlier, freezing later, thinning and in many places disappearing altogether. Thinner ice is less resilient. Picture ice cubes in a glass. Thick chunks last longer and melt slower than ice chips and slivers. All disintegrate faster in warmer liquid. This is a huge problem in the Arctic, where vast stretches of open blue water absorb the suns heat during summer, when the sun never really sets. Those warm waters flow beneath the ice to melt it from below.
This year, the overall health of the sea ice was bleak: the end-of-summer minimum was tracking at the second-lowest amount of sea ice in 42 years, Landrum said. Measurements by NASA and the NSIDC found it was about 2.6 million square kilometers (1 million square miles) lower than the average from 1981 to 2000. NASA satellite data shows an overall downward trend in Arctic ice is averaging 12.9% a year.
This years average global temperature will be among the warmest on record, researchers say. Current models predict the Arctic will be ice-free in summertime by 2040 2050. Overland thinks this so-called Blue Ocean Event (BOE) might come even sooner.
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https://news.mongabay.com/2020/10/long-entrenched-brazilian-military-mindset-is-key-to-amazon-policy-expert/