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Trump's Western Withdrawal & Preventive War: The Perverse Logic of Russia's Next Potential Move - William Spaniel
Suppose for a moment that Trump effectively withdraws from NATO. What happens next? Obviously, bad things for Europe. However, there is a deeper problem that arises out of what could happen in the 2028 presidential election. The potential for the United States to return to the alliance albeit to reduced effectiveness creates a closing window for Russia. Today, we explore the chances of whether Russia will jump through it.
0:00 Europe, Post U.S. Security Guarantee
1:12 Building a Hypothetical Scenario
6:24 The Preventive War Incentive