Why ice sheets will keep melting for centuries to come

[Playinghardball]

Ice sheets respond slowly to changes in climate, because they are so massive that they themselves dominate the climate conditions over and around them. But once they start flowing faster towards the shore and melting into the ocean the process takes centuries to reverse. Ice sheets are nature’s freight trains: tough to start moving, even harder to stop.

We know this process has been going back and forth throughout history – it’s why we’ve had ice ages and warm periods. But until now we haven’t known exactly how quickly ice sheets retreated and reformed. New research published in the journal Nature Communications gives us an answer, and it isn’t great news.

It turns out sea levels often rose at scary rates in response to natural climate changes, long before mankind began pumping carbon into the atmosphere.

In the short-term sea level is affected by ocean warming and so-called “thermal expansion”, or melting glaciers based on land. These changes can occur quickly – within a decade – but their impact on sea level is relatively small, in the tens of centimetres. The drivers of longer-term sea level rise, over decades or centuries, are the continental ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica.

On the fringes of these ice sheets are “ice shelves” stretching far out into the ocean. Ice shelves can be hundreds of meters thick and, because 90% of ice in water floats below the surface, they remain “grounded” on the sea floor as long as the sea is less deep than 90% of the ice shelf thickness. Where the sea floor is deeper or the ice shelf gets thinner, there will be an area of floating land ice; here, warming ocean water can get underneath and melt the ice. Once sufficiently destabilised, an ice shelf can break up catastrophically.

More here: http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2014/09/why-ice-sheets-will-keep-melting-for-centuries-to-come/

[SheilaT]

1. I do believe that one potential climate catastrophe

waiting to happen is that the melting ice sheets in the North Atlantic could shut down the Gulf Stream, which keeps Europe much warmer than it otherwise would be. I'm pretty sure that it's shut down in the past, and of course didn't exist at all some time far enough in the past.

And here's the thing everyone needs to understand: in the long run (probably even in the short run) it doesn't really matter to what extent the climate change has been brought about by humans. The fact is, the climate is changing and we know why. Human action, but again, in a way that's irrelevant. A whole lot of things are going to change a lot, and rising oceans are just the tip of the iceberg, to refer back to the melting ice.

[Downwinder]

2. Time to sell that beach front property.