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Sat May 1, 2021, 08:27 AM

Thermoelectric Power Generation and Water Stress in India: A Spatial and Temporal Analysis

The paper I'll discuss in this brief post is this one: Thermoelectric Power Generation and Water Stress in India: A Spatial and Temporal Analysis (Chao Zhang, Joonseok Yang, Johannes Urpelainen, Puneet Chitkara, Jiayi Zhang, and Jiao Wang Environmental Science & Technology 2021 55 (8), 4314-4323).

The connection between water and energy, particularly in an electrified world is inexorable.

It is worth noting (or confessing?) that the form of electrical energy (and other) energy that I regard as sustainable and environmentally acceptable, nuclear energy, is the worst offender for the use of water for power generation, at least as presently practiced. I am convinced that this problem can be engineered away, but it has not, as of now, been engineered away.

The paper under discussion is an overview of the water situation in India, a developing nation now undergoing a terrible Covid tragedy for which all decent human beings must extend sympathy and where possible aid. This said, the long term, environmental tragedy of India may make Covid pale in the end. For this reason, this paper, a policy paper, is worth some consideration.

From the introduction:

Water and energy are inextricably linked since most types of power generating processes, and thermal power in particular, require a significant amount of water, especially for steam generation, ash-handling, and cooling. Similarly, energy is required for all phases of water processing, including extraction, treatment, transportation, and consumption.(1−3) However, climate change and the sharp increase in global water demand pose serious threats to the sustainable supply of these critical resources. This results in a high degree of interdependency in a self-reinforcing cycle: water stress can be intensified by an increase in electricity production,(4−6) and at the same time, water scarcity can hamper the secure and sustainable supply of energy.(7,8)
Among different sources of energy, thermoelectric power is of central importance in this regard. Thermoelectric power generation constitutes 75% of the world’s net electricity generation(9) and has been the largest source of water withdrawal (86%) in the energy sector.(10) In recent years, a growing number of studies have investigated the relationship between thermal power generation and water scarcity in different countries and regions, including the United States,(11,12) the United Kingdom,(13) Middle East and North Africa,(14) South Africa,(15) and developing countries in Asia.(16)

Particular attention has been paid to China, where the thermal power industry has grown rapidly and water scarcity is a significant environmental challenge.(17−19) Existing studies have investigated various aspects of the electricity-water nexus in China, such as estimating aggregate water use by thermal power generation based on top-down data and methodologies (e.g., refs (20and21)); compiling spatial explicit water use inventories and water stress maps through bottom-up data at the power plant or generating unit-level (e.g., refs (22−25)); accounting for virtual water transfers via inter-regional or interprovincial electricity transmission (e.g., refs (26−29)); and projecting future trajectories of water use by using scenario analysis tools or energy system modeling (e.g., refs (30−32)). These analyses have revealed numerous spatial and temporal characteristics of the electricity-water nexus in China. Of note are the impacts in the water sector due to technological changes and policy interventions in the power sector. For example, historical analysis that is based on a detailed unit-level water use inventory conducted by ref (23) shows that thermal power generation in catchments under high water stress (with a water withdrawal-to-availability ratio greater than 0.4) has grown by a factor of 4.5 from 2000 to 2015 (from 643 TWh in 2000 to 2,885 TWh in 2015). At the same time, significant policy-induced technological changes, especially those in cooling technology structures, have successfully decoupled thermoelectric freshwater withdrawal from growing power generation.

Thermal power generation, especially coal-fired power, also plays a major role in India’s electricity mix. Driven by a growing population and economic development, India’s generation capacity is being rapidly expanded. Projections estimate that energy demand in India will increase by 1005 Mtoe from 2016 to 2040, more than any other country during the same period.(33) India is also projected to have the largest population increase worldwide, and will surpass China as the world’s most populous country in 2027...(34)

The paper notes that water scarcity is a huge problem in India as well as in China, and in fact, pretty much everywhere in the world. The failure to make even a weak stab at addressing climate change - all of our fantasies about electric cars, vast wind industrial parks in former wildernesses, and electric generating glass coated with millions of tons of mined, carbon reduced, and often toxic elements of the periodic table have done nothing at all except generate more fantasies - will make this worse.

The story can be told in graphics and tables from the paper:

The caption:

Figure 1. Spatial Distribution of Thermal Power Plants and Baseline Water Stress at Catchment Level. State boundaries are illustrated by light blue lines. Abbreviations of state name: AP, Andhra Pradesh; AR, Arunachal Pradesh; AS, Assam; BR, Bihar; CT, Chhattisgarh; GA, Goa; GJ, Gujarat; HR, Haryana; HP, Himachal Pradesh; JK, Jammu and Kashmir; JH, Jharkhand; KA, Karnataka; KL, Kerala; MP, Madhya Pradesh; MH, Maharashtra; MN, Manipur; ML, Meghalaya; MZ, Mizoram; NL, Nagaland; OR, Odisha; PB, Punjab; RJ, Rajasthan; TN, Tamil Nadu; TR, Tripura; UP, Uttar Pradesh; UT, Uttaranchal; WB, West Bengal. The base map is obtained from WRI’s Aqueduct Water Risk Atlas which is drawn according to defacto status and shows actual control situation. Disputed territories are supplemented and illustrated with shade.

The caption:

Figure 2. Electricity generation and freshwater withdrawal classified by baseline water stress categories.

The caption:

Figure 3. Relative Changes of Power Generation and Water Use. The base year level in 2009 is assigned as 1.0.

The caption:

Figure 4. Thermoelectric Freshwater Withdrawal (a) and Consumption (b) by the top 10 States in 2009, 2018, and 2027

The caption:

Figure 5. Spatial distribution of freshwater withdrawal, freshwater consumption, and thermoelectric water stress in 2018, and changes during the period of 2009–2018 and 2018–2027. The base map is obtained from WRI’s Aqueduct Water Risk Atlas which is drawn according to defacto status and shows actual control situation. Disputed territories are supplemented and illustrated with shade.

Some tables from the text:

Some additional text, which is involved with something called "reality:"

India’s thermal power sector has rapidly expanded in the past decade (2009–2018) with total generation capacity, including coal-fired, natural gas-fired, and nuclear power, increasing by 130% (from 101 GW in 2009 to 232 GW in 2018). This expansion was mainly driven by the commissioning of new coal-fired power plants, whose share in the total power capacity increased from 79% (80 GW) in 2009 to 86% (201 GW) in 2018. Natural gas-fired and nuclear power capacity accounted for the other 11% and 3% in 2018, respectively.

Net electricity generation increased by around 80% from 615 TWh in 2009 to 1106 TWh in 2018. The role of coal-fired power generation grew during the past decade, and it contributed to 92% (1017 TWh) of total thermal power generation in 2018, compared to 83% (615 TWh) in 2009. The lack of natural gas resources in India has impeded the development of natural gas-fired power generation. Although the installed capacity of natural gas-fired power plants rose during the study period, electricity generation decreased 43% from 88 TWh to 50 TWh. Nuclear power contributed to around 3.5% of overall generation.

It is often represented in our modern fantasies that "coal is dead" coupled with the stupid remark that the reason "coal is dead" is because of so called "renewable energy." It is telling however, and a dose of reality in the face a delusion every bit as serious - in some ways worse - that Covid is a "hoax," that coal is not dead where there is no ready access to dangerous natural gas, the use of which will scar the planet's atmosphere, water and land for eternity, all for short term comfort. This fact is highlighted in text I have bolded in this text just above. So called "renewable energy" did not save the world, is not saving the world, and will not save the world. It is a trivial form of energy, completely dependent on access and use of dangerous natural gas, and all the denial in the world will not change this fact.

Facts matter.

Nevertheless, there is discussion in the text of solutions with an eye of chasing the chimera that so called "renewable energy" is sustainable, even though one of the features of escaping poverty - poverty being an issue in India - is the abandonment of trying to survive on so called "renewable energy." This de facto discussion is here:

SWITCH is a long-term capacity expansion planning model which minimizes the cost of power system expansion and operations subject to reliability, operational, and resource availability constraints. It also helps model large, real-world power systems with high temporal and spatial resolutions relatively quickly. This is useful because including renewable energy assets in power systems requires an accurate representation of grid operations, through high temporal and special resolutions.

Whatever. The italics are mine.

India has huge thorium resources, and it has now supplanted Canada in the use of CANDU type heavy water nuclear reactors. It has also piloted a plant for the extraction of uranium from seawater.

Ironically enough - I've discussed this topic many times elsewhere - the solution to water demands for power plant cooling is ironically enough, to raise the internal temperatures so as to drive heat networks that extract additional work (exergy) from that heat, i.e. raise the efficiency of the plants to unprecedented methods. One possible inclusion in a heat network are systems that desalinate sea water. Desalination is not a panacea, and many environmental issues need to be addressed to employ it, but I believe they can be addressed by an educated, dedicated and respectful version of humanity, one not here immediately, but one that is certainly possible.

We are at a cross roads.

The functional "renewables will save us," anti-nuke guru who resides in a super energy efficient aerie on a mountain in the wealthy enclave of Snowmass, Colorado - which is represented in congress by Lorena Bobbitt, delusional gun nut Trump humper - is Amory Lovins. Amory Lovins will tell you that the goal of energy efficiency is to reduce the use of energy. Of course, Amory Lovins couldn't care less about poor people.

Maybe delusion is contagious in Snowmass.

I am disinterested in delusional bourgeois brats. Unlike the guru in Snowmass I am familiar with Jevon's paradox, well known and often observed since the 19th century, which states that increases in energy efficiency increase the use of energy. I'm fine with that because I believe that sustainable energy is possible. For me increases in efficiency are all about making energy available to the billions of people who lack it, a significant portion of whom live in India.

Have a nice weekend.

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