Didn't y'all hear? Polls are OUT. Projections and predictions by experts and gurus are IN!!

[reformist2]

I thought the Hillary campaign was all about hard data and scientific polls. Now it appears we need to be told what the scientific polls mean - by self-appointed experts, of course. It's beyond us mere mortals to understand what's really going on. Amazing.

What's next - astrological forecasts?

[Cali_Democrat]

1. Link? nt

[Cassiopeia]

2. Search Nate Silver and 538

There's been plenty posted over the last couple of days.

[Cali_Democrat]

4. OK I just gooled "Search Nate Silver and 538"

Here's the first link that comes up:

-------

In Search of America’s Best Burrito
By NATE SILVER

Seven years ago, I moved to Wicker Park, Chicago. The neighborhood, once heavily Hispanic, was being inundated by hipsters and yuppies, and its taquerias, some run by Mexican families who had immigrated to Chicago a generation earlier, were finding new audiences for their wares: the creative professional on her lunch break, the bro on his late-night bar crawl.

I was destined to be one of their best customers. I’m a burritophile. But of the 19 taquerias within a short walk of my apartment, which was the best? I decided to try them all, comparing them two at a time by ordering the same food item (say, a carne asada burrito) and knocking out the weaker alternative in an NCAA-style elimination tournament. Thus began the Burrito Bracket.

The Wicker Park version of the burrito bracket played down to a final five and then I got distracted, partly because I was beginning work on what would eventually become FiveThirtyEight. (I think of La Pasadita, the No. 1 seed, as the unofficial champion.) My burrito dreams were deferred. But I’d still like to know where to find the best burrito in Chicago. In fact, I’d like to find the best burrito in the country.

That’s what we’re about to do. We’re launching a national, 64-restaurant Burrito Bracket. We’ve convened a Burrito Selection Committee. We’ve hired an award-winning journalist, Anna Maria Barry-Jester, to be our burrito correspondent. She’s already out traveling the country and sampling burritos from every establishment that made the bracket.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/in-search-of-americas-best-burrito/

[silvershadow]

5. I saw it earlier. The only poll that matters is the one at the voting booth. nt

[reformist2]

3. I'm referring mainly to Nate Silver's / Mr. 538's "polls plus" predicitions.

After making his name showing how aggregated poll results can help predict elections, and by making small adjustments for bias, Mr. 538 is now telling us the polling in NH is off by over 10 points.

[wilsonbooks]

6. Nate is going to lose a lot of credibility.

Remember when they said that Bernie had peaked?

[Art_from_Ark]

7. "Remember when they said that Bernie had peaked?"

That was somewhere around 30% nationally, if I remember correctly.

[jeff47]

10. His schtick is to constantly revise his predictions.

So he'll be way off when the early polls are way off. But he'll come back with more predictions as election day approaches. So his last predictions are pretty good....they're just from a few days before the election.

[catnhatnh]

8. Oh DUDE...

Scientific polls are the new internet polls-you are SO fuckin' last month!

[Betty Karlson]

9. The next meme is how

Iowa and NH don't really matter. And after that: what really matters are superdelegates, because the convention will be inevitably brokered.