Iowa Shock Poll-HRC 57% SBS 36% MOM 7%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/gravis-marketing-one-america-news-23497

[jfern]

1. Gravis is such a crappy pollster that they're not even consistent with themselves

And they once had a national poll with Webb at 12% and Chafee at 8%. Even if Overtime Politics is making up numbers, they're still a better pollster than Gravis.

[bvf]

8. I think he found the animated gif first,

then went in search for something to attach it to.

Not at all surprised to hear that wrt Gravis, btw.

[Jarqui]

12. +1

There are pretty bad. Always have been.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2014/05/21/the_worst_poll_in_america.html

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/5/31/1388543/-The-most-accurate-pollsters-of-2014-and-why-that-title-quite-frankly-doesn-t-mean-very-much

Seem to be worse this cycle

[JonLeibowitz]

2. SHOCK as in it would be SHOCKING if it were actually at all accurate. Wait for Selzer... n/t

[Bjorn Against]

3. It is no shock that a notoriously shitty polling firm is an outlier once again

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. I am too shocked to respond

[HerbChestnut]

5. You're trying too hard, DSB.

[emulatorloo]

6. I wouldn't get too excited over a Gravis poll.

I think IA is gonna be a nail-biter. Lots of variables that afftect caucus turnout that pollsters can't control.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

7. cherry picking

[Samantha]

9. Nate Silver rates Gravis "C" with 3.9 margin of error

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

[reformist2]

11. And yet it's the one polling outfit that agrees with Nate's off the wall predictions for Iowa and NH

[Samantha]

13. Wall Street Journal/NBC has them in a statistical tie

Nate Silver rates them an A-. Go figure.

Sam

[Dawson Leery]

10. On one hand, it's Gravis, on the other, they have a strong sample

and a 3% margin of error. Many of the polls putting Bernista ahead have a large margin of error, 5% or more.

[Quixote1818]

14. These guys?

http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2014/05/21/the_worst_poll_in_america.html

[TSIAS]

15. "shocking"

yet unbelievable.