2016 Postmortem
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This message was self-deleted by its author (darkangel218) on Tue Jan 26, 2016, 10:50 AM. When the original post in a discussion thread is self-deleted, the entire discussion thread is automatically locked so new replies cannot be posted.
thereismore
(13,326 posts)JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)Sorry, just calling it as I see it.
beaglelover
(4,466 posts)shit.
Joe Shlabotnik
(5,604 posts)Yours is a big tent, blah, blah, blah, ...unless you feel otherwise that entitlement is threatened?
darkangel218
(13,985 posts)You barely have 300 posts on here, yet you complain about other DUers??? Wow, this is rich!!
ROFL!
pintobean
(18,101 posts)S/he's been a member here for over 7 years.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)What do you think posts counts reveal for a long-time member here? The reality is that most DUers post infrequently. That does not mean their posts are not worth reading.
I'd encourage you to use caution in ROFLing at long-time DUers with low post counts.
beaglelover
(4,466 posts)Response to beaglelover (Reply #41)
Post removed
peacebird
(14,195 posts)darkangel218
(13,985 posts)brooklynite
(96,882 posts)Last edited Mon Jan 25, 2016, 11:36 PM - Edit history (1)
The sad thing about dreaming is that eventually you wake up...
darkangel218
(13,985 posts)Except we live in reality.
And Bernie is as real as they come.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)MisterP
(23,730 posts)roguevalley
(40,656 posts)to replace her with Biden and others? I think she's on borrowed time with the people she supports, the unsentiment don't give a shit establishment.
artislife
(9,497 posts)senz
(11,945 posts)We don't have enough money to get it.
Joe Shlabotnik
(5,604 posts)darkangel218
(13,985 posts)Every bit helps!
Avalux
(35,015 posts)Gothmog
(179,869 posts)You would get a great return on your investment if you are right http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-democratic-nomination
FrenchieCat
(68,868 posts)could happen!
darkangel218
(13,985 posts)HC would though, if she gets nominated.
Let's hope she won't.
FrenchieCat
(68,868 posts)and I'm not alone, considering that Bernie Sanders has been touting polls as of late.
Here, let me....considering that Bernie Sanders has been touting polls as of late.
71% of Democratic voters think Hillary has a better chance than Sanders to win the general election -
http://www.cnn.com/2016/01/25/politics/hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-poll/index.html
In fact, most bipartisan polls prior to Iowa in head to head match up have been wrong...
darkangel218
(13,985 posts)But HC is fair game for Repubs in the GE, if she ever gets there. All her scandals will follow her, making it a guaranteed loss for the Democratic party.
I am confident that Bernie will win the Primaries though.
FrenchieCat
(68,868 posts)Especially if the GOP nominee is Trump! Many financially moderate republicans, and Independents will go into the voting booth and vote for Hillary, and if they can't bring themselves to do it, the will vote for every other race but that one, and if they are totally disgusted, they will stay home. They may not like Hillary, but if faced with the choice of an unknown quantity like the Bombastic self absorbed Trump and Hillary, the known quantity wins (they actually fared quite well under her husband...and they know that she can at least run a government and won't take them over the brink), and since the House would remain in GOP hand, status quo looks awfully good to them compared to who knows what? These are folks who aren't wedded to social issues, but want to protect their interest before pulling the lever for crazy Trump. It's like what Lindsey Grahm stated publicly....Trump or Cruz, it's like choosing between taking poison or being stabbed with a knife. Lindsey Graham is not even that moderate, and if he feels that way, you can bet that there there are many more who feel the same. .
senz
(11,945 posts)That is how one wins the GE: beating the other party's nominee.
FrenchieCat
(68,868 posts)also showed him beating Obama...
Spread was +6 to +12 from various polls. All of them.
That's how it works before the vetting and any votes are cast.
artislife
(9,497 posts)FrenchieCat
(68,868 posts)i.e., Moderate Republicans ashamed of their party....
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=post&forum=1251&pid=1068435
artislife
(9,497 posts)Which are two big problems for h.
FrenchieCat
(68,868 posts)and a health care system compared to that of tiny European countries, after fighting over health care for 5 years?
The way that Bernie is being treated currently will not last in a GE.
The redistribution of wealth in Ohio
and calls for a Revolution won't play well with those who have even a little to lose.
Especially if Trump turns out NOT to be the nominee....and we have a youthful Rubio and his reasonable sounding word salads,
going up against Sanders! The GOP is right now trying to figure out if there's a way to get rid of Trump....and Rubio has been sitting in the middle. I watched Rubio in a town hall, and he's pretty good....kinda has a Ricky Ricardo/Frank Sinatra look. Hillary with all of her experience (you know about the October surprise) will look fantastic in contrast.
FrenchieCat
(68,868 posts)Second, likely independent voters are very much middle of the road Americansnot too liberal, nor too conservative. They could even be termed that sensible center that many pundits wax philosophically about. The analysis here shows that they actually tend towards mixed solutions. For instance, 62% believe that the best solution to the deficit is some mix of tax increases and spending cuts (see appendix). Practically speaking, independents are looking for commonsensical mixed solutions, not radical ones.
Third, likely independent voters are more liberal on social issues, such gay marriage, abortion, and legalization of marijuana. Here the evidence indicates that such wedge issues might have a positive effect if used effectively by Obamas campaign. Here, again, moderation not radicalization should be the tone of any message.
Fourth, on the key issue of the day, the economy, likely independent voters lean slightly towards Romney but 53% still remain undecided, indicating that the battle over the optics on the economy has just begun. Indeed, Romney will continue to attack Obamas credibility on the economy, making the case that he would be a better economic custodian. In contrast, Obama will push the narrative that no one with a track record like Romneys at Bain should be trusted to take care of the average American.
http://spotlight.ipsos-na.com/index.php/news/game-of-inches-2-likely-independent-voters-who-they-are-and-what-do-they-think/
What do Independents believe in?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=104x1753473
artislife
(9,497 posts)You haven't been where thousands of us have been.
We lost it all or most of it. We don't believe in incremental change because that is so very close to trickle down.
Eff this shit.
FrenchieCat
(68,868 posts)Change usually doesn't come in one fell swoop!
And voters will telegraph that to you in November....
The type of Independent Bernie was, is not the type that the Majority of Independents are.
and the 80 year old grandmother won't be standing in line to vote for the 1st Black President.
Maybe the youth population will come out by an additional 2-3%.....
but the folks who don't want radical change will also be coming out in droves,
if Bernie is the nominee.
Now, that doesn't mean that Bernie won't win....just means that based on all of the elections that I've seen,
based on how much money the Republicans will spend to define Bernie who hasn't been defined yet,
by our Corporate media....who probably won't even air Bernie enough for enough of the working Joes and Marys
to even hear his unfitered message.
Will he go with public financing.....because although he believes in it, if he takes it, it will be a blood bath!
Obama's numbers were hurt in Ohio when it was said that he had mentioned redistributing the wealth...
and he hadn't even said that.....so where goes Ohio, goes the country.
artislife
(9,497 posts)Look at everything that happened in your life.
A loved one dies.
A tornado touches down.
9/11
An earthquake
A Tsunami takes out 227,898 people
The market crashes
You take Obama as an example...People now have lived through the whole collapse of 2010. There are a lot of people who lost everything and now are working service jobs that pay little more than minimum wage. Lots of people are still not where they were in 2008 and it hit people who played by the rules, did everything right.
I am putting my vote in for Bernie.
senz
(11,945 posts)May you have access to all the esoteric knowledge, and may you be absolutely right on this prediction!
However, I'd like it better if you saw him winning the GE too. Okay?
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)He could, of course, but it seems rather unlikely to me. I'm not seeing a path to that, really. He's doing well in a couple of states, though.
Response to MineralMan (Reply #39)
darkangel218 This message was self-deleted by its author.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)darkangel218
(13,985 posts)You'll see I was right in a few months.
snooper2
(30,151 posts)LOL
darkangel218
(13,985 posts)Not the same can be said about H.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)But I will observe that every day, more and more poultry is gathering for a hatching.
randome
(34,845 posts)You should never make a blanket statement like this. Nothing good can come of it, unless you're hoping with fingers crossed that you're right and that people everywhere will take whatever you say from now on as the truth -an extremely unlikely occurrence.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Aspire to inspire.[/center][/font][hr]
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)On a time-out for an exposed transparency page.