Just heard a political analyst say that Clinton must have some bad internal

[cali]

polling. This was on my local Vermont station. The comment or is Dr. Garrison Nelson, Professor of American Governnent, Politics and Political Behavior at UVM, as well as being the most prominent political analyst in Vermont.

Dr. Nelson said that he couldn't see any other explanation for the panicked behavior of the campaign, and in particular Bill's fevered attacks on Bernie.


Professor Nelson teaches courses in American government, political leadership and political parties.

He is the author of more than 150 articles and professional papers on national politics with a major focus on the U.S. Congress and elections in Vermont and is a regular media commentator on those topics. He is the author of Pathways to the U.S. Supreme Court: From the Arena to the Monastery (Palgrave Macmillan, 2013) and co-author of The Austin-Boston Connection: Five Decades of House Democratic Leadership, 1937-1989 (Texas A&M University, 2009).

https://www.uvm.edu/~polisci/?Page=GarrisonNelson.php

[asuhornets]

1. PLZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

After NH, it's over for Sanders.

[cali]

2. He has plenty of money. He ain't getting out.

[asuhornets]

5. And so does Hillary,

No one is telling him to get out. After, he wins NH, he will enter the phase in the race which is uncharted territory for him. Do u think he is up for it?

[pangaia]

29. 1- But Bernie's money is not... oh, nevermind.

2- The entire campaign has been uncharted territory for
Bernie.
3- Hillary Clinton is toast. The toaster just hasn't popped up yet.

[Xipe Totec]

3. Tell me more, oh Seer of Seers, Sage of Sages, Prognosticator of Prognosticators nt

[WillyT]

4. LOL !!!

[asuhornets]

7. When he wins NH,

will he be ready for uncharted territory? I think not.

[Punkingal]

12. Yes he will be ready, and so are the voters.

[PonyUp]

25. I can tell you this much. Hillary will not win NC. n/t

[asuhornets]

27. I can see Hillary and Bernie

may go head to head for state.

[pangaia]

30. You said that already.

[Joe the Revelator]

6. Wishing and Hoping. If you can't see the writing on the wall, then there isn't much help for you.

If he wins tonight, the road starts to get rough for Hill.

[asuhornets]

10. I absolutely do not see the writings on the wall

of him winning the nomination.

[Joe the Revelator]

11. Well then just shut your eyes and imagine a campaign completely imploding.

That is what is already underway w. team Hill.

[bvar22]

20. You are also unable to read the National Polls,

nor do you remember 2008.

I do, and your claims have no foundation.

[asuhornets]

24. This is not 2008 and

Bernie is no Obama. Obama was able to bring whites,blacks, Latinos, and Asian together. Bernie will have to become a whole new person(personality) in order to do that.

[HooptieWagon]

28. Bernie is not Obama, but Hillary is still Hillary.

She's repeating 2008 expecting a different result. Obama, Sanders, it doesn't matter because her biggest opponant is herself.

[pangaia]

31. Heh, heh, heh.. That's our plan...

[Kalidurga]

9. aweeeee is that what your crystal ball told you

or was it a cup of tea or perhaps you were scrolling?

[asuhornets]

14. Yes in my crystal ball, I see

more diverse states where some don't even know who he is.

[Kalidurga]

15. oh my it's like the internet, tv ads, news programs, and town halls don't exist

no way anyone in those red states figure out who Bernie is, nope no way at all.

[asuhornets]

18. Pretty much...n/t

[earthshine]

23. Are you this nasty in real life ...

or do you just save it for us?

[asuhornets]

26. Just for you...n/t

Just because I am giving you my perspective I'm being nasty.

[TheBlackAdder]

8. Hear me now, believe me later: Hillary already LOST the Northeast! Even CT is falling.

.


I knew this was going to happen 6 weeks ago, and didn't believe it when I was told at first.



Most of ME, RI, and Middle/Western MA are hurting. VT is a given.


CT is having problems, but NYC keeps them afloat, but that is crumbling.



.

[PyaarRevolution]

21. Thom talked about this today...

A headline towards the Financial Times along with a caller mentioned some rate or measure that heralds a coming recession. Definitely creeped Thom out.
Someone will have to flesh it out who watched Thom's show as I'm trying to remember it.

[Jarqui]

13. I agree with him. Bill reacted that way when Obama was starting to take over

It is a sign the Clinton campaign knows it's in trouble.

For them, it may be a bit of a shock, because their internal polling in Iowa told them they were going to cruise to a +5 victory. They probably fixed their polling model and suddenly saw what was happening. Panic set in.

Tonight, the Clintons also know Bernie is going to get heavy, good quality mainstream media coverage - and that will help him in the upcoming states to tighten the polls.

The key questions would be "will it help him significantly?" "Does the momentum break down Clinton's firewall with minorities?" Like a bunch around here think, there's a good chance the answer to both those questions is yes. Bill Clinton knows it too.

[TheBlackAdder]

16. If this follows 2008, soon we'll be entering the "poo throwing" stage of the campaign! nt

[Jarqui]

22. I think that's already started from the Clintons nt

[cali]

19. He's awfully good. He specializes in political behavior

[temporary311]

17. I wouldn't be surprised.

It probably hasn't looked good since some time before Iowa. You don't do what her campaign has been doing if her polls reflected many of the public polls from back then.