Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
Wed Feb 17, 2016, 01:47 PM Feb 2016

WOW! Sanders pulls within two and a half % in the aggregation of nationwide polls of likely voters!

Here is the aggregation of all polls (including likely voter polls, registered voter polls, and polls of all adults), which shows Clinton with a slim 7% lead:



Among likely voter polls, registered voter polls, and polls of all adults, the likely voter polls are by far the most accurate (and the polls of all adults are the least accurate). If we consider only the likely voter polls, the gap between Clinton and Sanders narrows to a mere two and a half percent:



Bear in mind that national polls do not correspond to any real election (i.e., there is no national primary), but with Super Tuesday coming up soon, the national polling tread is a good indication that the Sanders campaign is on the right track!

The Nevada polls are also showing an incredibly close race:



Keep up the great work!

21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
WOW! Sanders pulls within two and a half % in the aggregation of nationwide polls of likely voters! (Original Post) Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 OP
America is feeling the Bern! jillan Feb 2016 #1
The trends are relentless. nt thereismore Feb 2016 #2
somethings happening tk2kewl Feb 2016 #3
Hopefully Bernie will continue to trend upwards and pull ahead... TheBluestEye Feb 2016 #4
K&R amborin Feb 2016 #5
Kick azmom Feb 2016 #6
Bernie's national trajectory has been steadily upward, John Poet Feb 2016 #7
Domino effect... Helen Borg Feb 2016 #8
K & R! TIME TO PANIC Feb 2016 #9
2008 is happening again, only this time faster LondonReign2 Feb 2016 #10
the fact that Sanders is no Obama is WHY Sanders has to run MisterP Feb 2016 #15
Add all that to the fact Plucketeer Feb 2016 #17
Completely agree with your asessment n/t LondonReign2 Feb 2016 #21
HUGE K & R !!! - THANK YOU !!! WillyT Feb 2016 #11
WOOP! K&R secondwind Feb 2016 #12
As a donating Sanders backer, here's some cold water from RealClearPolitics cloudythescribbler Feb 2016 #13
Add to that she never rises in the polls farleftlib Feb 2016 #14
Loving those trend lines! U of M Dem Feb 2016 #16
Thanks for the good news! Betty Karlson Feb 2016 #18
excellent trends! Vote2016 Feb 2016 #19
Nah, he peaked long ago. progressoid Feb 2016 #20
 

TheBluestEye

(97 posts)
4. Hopefully Bernie will continue to trend upwards and pull ahead...
Wed Feb 17, 2016, 01:59 PM
Feb 2016

Nevada is close. Turnout is going to make the difference. Bernie has excited the electorate and they just need to show up and vote.

 

John Poet

(2,510 posts)
7. Bernie's national trajectory has been steadily upward,
Wed Feb 17, 2016, 02:19 PM
Feb 2016

while Hillary's numbers have been jumping all over the place--

sort of like her positions on issues.

LondonReign2

(5,213 posts)
10. 2008 is happening again, only this time faster
Wed Feb 17, 2016, 02:43 PM
Feb 2016

Sure, Bernie is no Obama, but Hillary is still Hillary.

MisterP

(23,730 posts)
15. the fact that Sanders is no Obama is WHY Sanders has to run
Wed Feb 17, 2016, 03:50 PM
Feb 2016

he won't tell his backers to fuck off now that he's in the Oval Office, won't set up a "veal pen," won't yell about the GOP and then quietly pass their bills

it's two different sorts of charisma--with Obama he had personal charisma, people lining up and crying openly, trusting him to pass whatever they wanted because he was Obama and they supported him; Sanders's charisma is inverse, people backing him because he doesn't just promise XYZ but delineates the whole system that's blocked XYZ for decades; we're cautious, probing, critical, badly burned by the last guy they gave full benefit of the doubt to: people gave themselves up

Rahm's "icebreaker" was able to call himself a "blank screen," ending up a liberish but still firmly "post-1994" Dem, still obligated to give us TPP and TISA before leaving, putting peace and SS on the table, someone we thought just give you what you wanted because we thought he was pure as the snow; Sanders has an iron ethical record, and that inverts and makes us hold him accountable

 

Plucketeer

(12,882 posts)
17. Add all that to the fact
Wed Feb 17, 2016, 04:37 PM
Feb 2016

that he didn't even WANT to run for President and we end up with as good a prospect for REAL "Hope 'n Change" as we may ever see again.

cloudythescribbler

(2,599 posts)
13. As a donating Sanders backer, here's some cold water from RealClearPolitics
Wed Feb 17, 2016, 03:23 PM
Feb 2016

They are a RW site (good to know what they're up to) but their aggregation of polls is highly respected:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html

The data suggests that the gap is narrowing, but it isn't really possible to claim it's down to 2% nationally yet

I hope that fellow Bernie Sanders supporters don't build up expecations to high, only to have memes a target if expectations not fully met. It looks like NV will be close -- a lot closer than I expected less than a week ago. It still looks like in SC that if Hillary Clinton's lead can be kept to single digits (or if there's an upset Sanderista victory), then the MSM will, after a close vote in NV, really start to treat this election as competitive, which most have yet to seriously do.

The problem is Super Tuesday less than 2 weeks away, the "Who's Bernie Sanders?" problem apparently still remains reportedly widespread (according to Sanders campaign canvassers!) , even in relatively well-organized NV, and since the big win in NH. Obama was for factors mostly specific to his campaign, able to mount the steep climb to Super Tuesday (a real built-in firewall in having it so soon in the season, which progressives over the longer term have to change if future insurgency candidacies will be able to have anything close to a level(ish) playing field w/in the Democratic Party) more easily than is the case with Sanders. (As an Obama supporter I was worried even then, tho Obama came off spectacularly). At any rate, it's important to somehow combat that problem of the mass of non-political junkie voters, getting them out for Bernie. I have made a number of suggestions but would be interested in hearing what other supporters see as climbing this steep hill successfully

 

farleftlib

(2,125 posts)
14. Add to that she never rises in the polls
Wed Feb 17, 2016, 03:25 PM
Feb 2016

and Bernie has been doing nothing but going steadily up since he started....

 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
18. Thanks for the good news!
Wed Feb 17, 2016, 04:46 PM
Feb 2016

You are doing a great job posting these regular (aggregated) updates.

Kick in to the DU tip jar?

This week we're running a special pop-up mini fund drive. From Monday through Friday we're going ad-free for all registered members, and we're asking you to kick in to the DU tip jar to support the site and keep us financially healthy.

As a bonus, making a contribution will allow you to leave kudos for another DU member, and at the end of the week we'll recognize the DUers who you think make this community great.

Tell me more...

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»WOW! Sanders pulls within...