2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumRasmussen FL SEN poll contradicts WeAskAmerica - Nelson (D) 52%, Mack (R) 41%
We Ask America claimed over the weekend that Nelson & Mack were in a Tie.
Even Rasmussen is showing that isn't true.
Monday, October 08, 2012
Democratic incumbent Bill Nelson is pulling away in Floridas U.S. Senate race, now crossing the 50% mark for the first time.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Sunshine State finds Nelson earning 52% of the vote, while Republican Connie Mack picks up 41% support. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided.
Nelson held a 47% to 40% advantage over Mack, a U.S. congressman, in August and September.
Because the gap between Nelson and Mack has widened, this race moves from Leans Democrat to Safe Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power Rankings and further highlights the likelihood that Democrats will retain control of the Senate.
The presidential race in Florida, however, remains a Toss-Up, with Mitt Romney ahead of President Obama by just two points.
Ninety-three percent (93%) of likely Florida voters say they are certain to vote this election cycle. Among these voters, it's Nelson 51%, Mack 44%.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/florida/election_2012_florida_senate
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)But I still expect the president to carry Florida.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)I think Nate Silver had Obama with a 65-70% chance of winning it.
Hopefully that will hold up.
Romney was in FL over the weekend.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)They do not weigh their polls correctly.