Nate Silver:Clinton has a 75% chance of winning Nevada vs.25% for Sanders

[bigdarryl]

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/nevada-democratic/

[Persondem]

1. I just saw this myself. That's up from a 50/50 tie a few days ago. K & R nt

[morningfog]

5. Nate flipped from Bernie up to Hillary up in the "polls only"

When the only additional poll was a tie. It was weird.

[Binkie The Clown]

7. This is NOT percentage of votes, this is an ODDSMAKER'S OPINION. n/t

If you ask the people, instead of the oddsmakers, the polls are running at 50/50

http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/17/politics/hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-nevada-poll/

[Persondem]

9. No kidding, Binks. Since that is the topic of the OP I figured that savvy readers would understand

that. Just so happens that the % chance of a win was 50/50 a few days ago as was one of the polls.

Lately "the people" have been tilting towards Clinton.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nv/nevada_democratic_presidential_caucus-5337.html

[Binkie The Clown]

10. I'll tell you exactly who will win Nevada, and by how much.

First thing Monday morning. I promise.

Until then, nothing I say makes any difference at all.

[Persondem]

11. Now that sounds pretty sensible. Cheers. nt

[Mike Nelson]

2. The media...

...keeps saying they are in a "dead heat" and imply it's over for Hillary! ...they know nothing...we'll know after March.

[randys1]

3. Remember, she could win by 1% and his prediction is still accurate.

[MohRokTah]

4. Not surprising considering her ground game. eom

[DCBob]

6. That sounds about right to me.

Nevada Hispanics will give Hillary a grande victory!

[oasis]

8. Sweet.

[Quixote1818]

12. She had an 80% chance of winning Iowa and it was a tie. nt