2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLet's make it even more challenging. Post your predictions for SC before NV is done.
My prediction for South Carolina:
Clinton: 55
Sanders: 45
I understand that puts me way outside of polling averages. I'm staying with it though, because polls can and sometimes do swing wildly, and that's what I'm feeling right now.
What's your guess?
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)DisgustipatedinCA
(12,530 posts)By the way, for anyone interested, I'm solidly a Sanders supporter. But in this thread, and another similar thread asking for Nevada predictions, I'm doing my best to be an even-handed, nice guy. Thank you.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)Hillary Clinton 55
Bernie Sanders 45
Hillary needs to win by at least 20 points though if she loses Nevada today. Anything less than that makes Bernie the Little Engine that Could.
DisgustipatedinCA
(12,530 posts)...but without you knowing the size of the gumball machine. My prediction was completely off the cuff, but I sure hope it stays within that margin.
Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Bold prediction, but I think Sanders barely makes it a single digit deficit.
DisgustipatedinCA
(12,530 posts)I'd rather he win, but then again, I'd also like to win the lottery. I'm not predicting either of those things will happen.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)...it means he's getting close to 40% of AA voters, which puts a big crack in Clinton's 'firewall'. Once he gets into the 40s, her firewall is gone.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)DisgustipatedinCA
(12,530 posts)Cheese Sandwich
(9,086 posts)DisgustipatedinCA
(12,530 posts)Thank you.
Cheese Sandwich
(9,086 posts)Polling has been been around that range.
She's super dominant there.
Sanders gets a trophy for participation in South Carolina. He showed up and made an effort.
DisgustipatedinCA
(12,530 posts)But again, I'm making this all up as I go along. Thanks for your prediction.
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