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DisgustipatedinCA

(12,530 posts)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 04:08 PM Feb 2016

Let's make it even more challenging. Post your predictions for SC before NV is done.

My prediction for South Carolina:

Clinton: 55
Sanders: 45

I understand that puts me way outside of polling averages. I'm staying with it though, because polls can and sometimes do swing wildly, and that's what I'm feeling right now.

What's your guess?

15 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Let's make it even more challenging. Post your predictions for SC before NV is done. (Original Post) DisgustipatedinCA Feb 2016 OP
about 58/42 Clinton bettyellen Feb 2016 #1
You see some tightening, but still a resounding win for Clinton. Thanks. DisgustipatedinCA Feb 2016 #3
Appreciate your efforts to keep it nice and even handed- very much. bettyellen Feb 2016 #7
That is what I was going to predict even before opening the thread. Kalidurga Feb 2016 #2
This is almost like asking you to guess how many gumballs are in the gumball machine... DisgustipatedinCA Feb 2016 #4
I used to be good at that. Kalidurga Feb 2016 #5
Clinton 54.5 , Sanders 45.5. HooptieWagon Feb 2016 #6
As a Sanders supporter, I'd be ok with that outcome. DisgustipatedinCA Feb 2016 #8
If he cracks into single digit deficit,... HooptieWagon Feb 2016 #9
Clinton 53 Sanders 47 nt geek tragedy Feb 2016 #10
6 point contest. Thank you. DisgustipatedinCA Feb 2016 #11
Clinton 70% Sanders 29% Cheese Sandwich Feb 2016 #12
Alright...I believe that's what the most recent polling shows, right? You're going with steady state DisgustipatedinCA Feb 2016 #13
The Clinton GOTV effort in SC is literally the tightest campaign operation in history Cheese Sandwich Feb 2016 #14
If he wins Nevada today, I expect him to gain some support in South Carolina. DisgustipatedinCA Feb 2016 #15
 

DisgustipatedinCA

(12,530 posts)
3. You see some tightening, but still a resounding win for Clinton. Thanks.
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 04:12 PM
Feb 2016

By the way, for anyone interested, I'm solidly a Sanders supporter. But in this thread, and another similar thread asking for Nevada predictions, I'm doing my best to be an even-handed, nice guy. Thank you.

Kalidurga

(14,177 posts)
2. That is what I was going to predict even before opening the thread.
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 04:10 PM
Feb 2016

Hillary Clinton 55
Bernie Sanders 45

Hillary needs to win by at least 20 points though if she loses Nevada today. Anything less than that makes Bernie the Little Engine that Could.

 

DisgustipatedinCA

(12,530 posts)
4. This is almost like asking you to guess how many gumballs are in the gumball machine...
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 04:13 PM
Feb 2016

...but without you knowing the size of the gumball machine. My prediction was completely off the cuff, but I sure hope it stays within that margin.

 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
6. Clinton 54.5 , Sanders 45.5.
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 04:15 PM
Feb 2016

Bold prediction, but I think Sanders barely makes it a single digit deficit.

 

DisgustipatedinCA

(12,530 posts)
8. As a Sanders supporter, I'd be ok with that outcome.
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 04:17 PM
Feb 2016

I'd rather he win, but then again, I'd also like to win the lottery. I'm not predicting either of those things will happen.

 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
9. If he cracks into single digit deficit,...
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 04:24 PM
Feb 2016

...it means he's getting close to 40% of AA voters, which puts a big crack in Clinton's 'firewall'. Once he gets into the 40s, her firewall is gone.

 

DisgustipatedinCA

(12,530 posts)
13. Alright...I believe that's what the most recent polling shows, right? You're going with steady state
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 04:27 PM
Feb 2016

Thank you.

 

Cheese Sandwich

(9,086 posts)
14. The Clinton GOTV effort in SC is literally the tightest campaign operation in history
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 04:32 PM
Feb 2016

Polling has been been around that range.

She's super dominant there.

Sanders gets a trophy for participation in South Carolina. He showed up and made an effort.

 

DisgustipatedinCA

(12,530 posts)
15. If he wins Nevada today, I expect him to gain some support in South Carolina.
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 04:54 PM
Feb 2016

But again, I'm making this all up as I go along. Thanks for your prediction.

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