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kcjohn1

(751 posts)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 08:00 PM Feb 2016

Bernie Folks - Things still look up, and this is why

Contrary to popular opinion Caucus favor Clinton not Sanders. The meme going around is that only most passionate people go to these things, but the reality is these things bring out the most politically active people and the most reliable voters (OLD PEOPLE). Is it any wonder Clinton's two victories so far in Caucus states?

Look at Iowa exit poll. 28% of the voters were 65+. In Nevada, another 28%. How about NH which was primary? Just 18%. That is huge difference given how much Sanders loses to those older voters. If this was primary, you would have higher turnout, and more voters less than 65+. These 65+ people will vote no matter what. Your average 35 year old is not going to caucus that could take 2-3 hours of their time.

South Carolina will be tough along with other south states. The good news is if Sanders can keep his current margins with young voters, whites/latinos, he should be in good shape going forward.

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Bernie Folks - Things still look up, and this is why (Original Post) kcjohn1 Feb 2016 OP
and there's always the possibility of an indictment. grasswire Feb 2016 #1
Good point, thanks for the information. Nt californiabernin Feb 2016 #2
This message was self-deleted by its author snagglepuss Feb 2016 #3
time to say it Robbins Feb 2016 #4
Actually totally opposite kcjohn1 Feb 2016 #5

Response to kcjohn1 (Original post)

kcjohn1

(751 posts)
5. Actually totally opposite
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 08:26 PM
Feb 2016

Even Nate who has not believed in Sanders candicancy thinks he wins the remaining caucus. Here is the list.

Alaska, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Kansas, Maine, Minnesota, Nebraska, Washington and Wyoming

I believe polls already show Sanders leading Alaska, Colorado (close), Maine, Minnesota, and Washington. Most of these are predominately white, and unlike Iowa, Clinton does not have the organization to counter Sanders enthusiasm/ground support.

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