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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNo, the Polling Doesn’t Prove Bernie Sanders Won the Hispanic Vote in Nevada
The actual election returns in Las Vegass Clark County hint at a different story. Analyzed neighborhood by neighborhood, they suggest that Mrs. Clinton might have won the Hispanic vote by a comfortable margin. She won about 60 percent of delegates in heavily Hispanic areas, a result that calls the finding of the polling into question.http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/22/upshot/why-clinton-not-sanders-probably-won-the-hispanic-vote-in-nevada.html?_r=0
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No, the Polling Doesn’t Prove Bernie Sanders Won the Hispanic Vote in Nevada (Original Post)
workinclasszero
Feb 2016
OP
Yes I did, did you? It said that they do not count votes by ethnicity so it is impossible to know &
jillan
Feb 2016
#7
So claims that either Bernie or Hillary definitely won the Hispanic vote are wrong?
hack89
Feb 2016
#8
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)1. I figured as much.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)2. Yup just more disinformation from the Bernie camp
Like clockwork...
jillan
(39,451 posts)3. Except for this little pesky chart & these pesky facts.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/02/22/did-bernie-sanders-really-just-win-the-hispanic-vote-in-nevada/
https://img.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1484
And then there is this -
Just because she won Latino districts that does not mean that everyone that voted for her in those districts was Latino.
http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-who-won-nevada-latinos-20160221-story.html
So it is unclear.
https://img.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1484
And then there is this -
Just because she won Latino districts that does not mean that everyone that voted for her in those districts was Latino.
http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-who-won-nevada-latinos-20160221-story.html
So it is unclear.
hack89
(39,171 posts)6. Did you even read your own link?
it goes into great detail why that graph is probably wrong, including a very large margin of error.
jillan
(39,451 posts)7. Yes I did, did you? It said that they do not count votes by ethnicity so it is impossible to know &
that just because a district that has a large latino population does not mean that everyone in that district that voted was a latino.
So the bottom line is it is impossible to know for sure.
hack89
(39,171 posts)8. So claims that either Bernie or Hillary definitely won the Hispanic vote are wrong?
sounds reasonable. But considering how well she did in Hispanic districts it is likely that she did extremely well with Hispanic voters which bodes well for her in future states like Texas.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)4. Great article and analysis. So the claims of the Sanders people are based on 213 Hispanic voters
who were part of a sample of only 25 precincts. The pollsters chose precincts randomly, NOT voters.
A big K & R
uponit7771
(90,302 posts)5. +1, Sanders coalitions does NOT include Blacks, Hispanics, Women, Gays, PoC millennials, PoC poor...
... and cute puppies.
Who is left for him??