Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 12:43 PM Feb 2016

No, the Polling Doesn’t Prove Bernie Sanders Won the Hispanic Vote in Nevada

The actual election returns in Las Vegas’s Clark County hint at a different story. Analyzed neighborhood by neighborhood, they suggest that Mrs. Clinton might have won the Hispanic vote by a comfortable margin. She won about 60 percent of delegates in heavily Hispanic areas, a result that calls the finding of the polling into question.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/22/upshot/why-clinton-not-sanders-probably-won-the-hispanic-vote-in-nevada.html?_r=0
8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

hack89

(39,171 posts)
6. Did you even read your own link?
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 02:02 PM
Feb 2016

it goes into great detail why that graph is probably wrong, including a very large margin of error.

jillan

(39,451 posts)
7. Yes I did, did you? It said that they do not count votes by ethnicity so it is impossible to know &
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 02:09 PM
Feb 2016

that just because a district that has a large latino population does not mean that everyone in that district that voted was a latino.

So the bottom line is it is impossible to know for sure.

hack89

(39,171 posts)
8. So claims that either Bernie or Hillary definitely won the Hispanic vote are wrong?
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 02:12 PM
Feb 2016

sounds reasonable. But considering how well she did in Hispanic districts it is likely that she did extremely well with Hispanic voters which bodes well for her in future states like Texas.

Persondem

(1,936 posts)
4. Great article and analysis. So the claims of the Sanders people are based on 213 Hispanic voters
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 01:54 PM
Feb 2016

who were part of a sample of only 25 precincts. The pollsters chose precincts randomly, NOT voters.

A big K & R

uponit7771

(90,302 posts)
5. +1, Sanders coalitions does NOT include Blacks, Hispanics, Women, Gays, PoC millennials, PoC poor...
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 01:55 PM
Feb 2016

... and cute puppies.

Who is left for him??

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»No, the Polling Doesn’t P...