2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThink Hillary Clinton Will Crush Donald Trump in the General Election? Don't Be So Sure
http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2016/02/24/donald_trump_could_beat_hillary_clinton_in_the_general.htmlNurseJackie
(42,862 posts)I'm sure.
Try again. Time's a-wastin' ... tick-tock!
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)RunInCircles
(122 posts)It occurred to me after watching the
Republicans that Rubio and Cruz are afraid of Trump. They won't attack him directly they are intimidated.
So they are not Presidential material. Now it is up to Hillary and Bernie to take on Trump. I would be more than happy to give my vote to the candidate who can successfully take Trump down. This would be fun to watch but it is not going to happen by being afraid to get into the ring.
Gothmog
(145,130 posts)The predictive markets which are based on the free market system disagrees with your analysis. If anyone really believes this analysis, then go make some money by opening an Irish brokerage account You would get great odds on this belief and can make some money http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-winner Clinton's odds of being the Democratic nominee has shot up 6 or 7 points since Nevada and the odds of the Democratic candidate (i.e. Clinton) winning the general election has gone up also.
I was close to buying an option when Clinton was only at 80% probability of being the nominee a couple of weeks ago (i.e., before the Nevada caucus results). With Clinton being at 90% chance of being the nominee, the pricing is not attractive to me but would be attractive if you really believe that Sanders will be the nominee.
The people who making the market are no doubt factoring in super delegates and all of the states where Sanders is projected to lose by double digit margins.