538:----> Hillary Clinton’s Got This!!

[riversedge]

Hillary Clinton’s Got This

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/hillary-clintons-got-this/


Something truly crazy would have to happen for Bernie Sanders to win the Democratic nomination.

By Harry Enten


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Hillary Clinton reacts to supporters as she arrives at her Super Tuesday election night rally in Miami.

Gerald Herbert / AP

To borrow a phrase from Dan Rather, Hillary Clinton swept through the South like a big wheel through a Delta cotton field on Super Tuesday. She won seven states total, including Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia in the South. She also won Massachusetts and American Samoa. Bernie Sanders emerged victorious in four states (Colorado, Minnesota, Oklahoma and Vermont), but his victories tended to come by smaller margins and in smaller states. The end result is that Clinton has a clear path to winning the nomination, and Sanders’s only hope to derail her is for something very unusual to happen.

We’ve now seen 15 states vote in the Democratic contest, and it’s clear that Clinton’s coalition is wider than Sanders’s. Sanders has won only in relatively small states where black voters make up less than 10 percent of the population. That’s not going to work this year when black voters are likely to make up more than 20 percent of Democratic primary voters nationwide.

On Tuesday, we saw why. As she did in Nevada and South Carolina, Clinton won huge margins of black voters. Her worst performance was in Oklahoma, where 71 percent of black voters in the Democratic primary chose her. In Alabama, she won 93 percent of black voters on her way to winning 78 percent of Democrats overall. Clinton took no less than 64 percent of the overall vote in the Southern states she won.

It wasn’t just black voters, either: Clinton dominated with Hispanics in Texas. There had been some questions about how Hispanics voted in Nevada, but there was little doubt in Texas. The exit poll showed Clinton with a 42 percentage point win among Hispanics, about the margin she won in counties such as Hidalgo, where Hispanics make up 91 percent of the population. Those results bode well for Clinton in states such as Arizona, California, Florida and New Mexico.

The end result is that Clinton will now have a substantial delegate lead. .............................

[LexVegas]

1. Bernie is so HORRIBLE with minorities that there is no way he can win. nt

[6chars]

2. there seems to be something about him they find very off-putting

I can't put my finger on what it is.

[potone]

3. Not all minorities agree with you.

And anyway, how about letting the rest of the Democratic voters in the country have a chance to vote before declaring victory? This triumphalism is alienating to Bernie supporters, whom Hillary will need in the general election.

[litlbilly]

4. enough posting of this rediculous meme of the day,