2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew Illinois poll: HRC: 62% BS: 25%
Looking good in the Land of Lincoln for Madam Nominee!
HERVEPA
(6,107 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)I have never been to Baghdad.. honest.
litlbilly
(2,227 posts)Sorry you dont like it... but it is was it is.
monicaangela
(1,508 posts)Rings as true as the Michigan poll did.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)The MI polls were about 20 points off. So if this poll is 20 points off then Hillary still wins by 17.
monicaangela
(1,508 posts)I'd hate to see her lose yet another one when the polls appear to be in her favor.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Unless Bernie can start winning some of these big delegate states by large margins he's toast.
monicaangela
(1,508 posts)saying my prayers every night. I don't like toast.
Stuckinthebush
(10,982 posts)Thanks!
Cheese Sandwich
(9,086 posts)monicaangela
(1,508 posts)And I believe he will.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Trust me.
6chars
(3,967 posts)she just has to plod along to get the nomination at this point, while Bernie needs to win the big states.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Just keep from losing big anywhere and cruise to the nomination.
SheenaR
(2,052 posts)if Hillary wins IL by 37 points
If anyone on the Clinton side would like to do the same since you think she may/will win by this much, feel free to match it.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)I will be happy with a 10-15 point win given what happened in Michigan.
Blue_In_AK
(46,436 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)Especially in the south. I hope the pollsters learned something from MI and have adjusted their techniques.
vdogg
(1,384 posts)I doubt she'll get a 40 point margin, but 20 is not out of the question. We may lose Ohio, because it is very similar to Michigan. Illinois however is not as similar as people think. I grew up in Kalamazoo, been to Chicago several times (only 2.5 hrs away, easy weekend trip). The two areas are night and day. The rural areas of Michigan barely overcame Detroit. Chicago has about 3-4 times the population of Detroit but the population in the rural areas is similar to the pop of rural Michigan. The math just isn't there, I don't think a lot of Sanders supporters understand that. I'll admit, we got more than a bit ahead of ourselves with Michigan. Illinois is a different story, pretty confident about that one.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)I know Illinois very well... lived there 20 years.
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)I'm an expert!
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Got that right!
Ferd Berfel
(3,687 posts)will make sure the tabulators are working correctly.
I did pole watching one year, I thought things were shady and told everyone I could (including Hartmann)
Melissa Bean (D-IL 10) won that year and I delivered the totals tape to her victory party. But I wasn't comfortable with it.
The next time I didn't vote for her (for Obama though). She lost and Joe Walsh won HE on;y was in for 1 term and people woke up - then we got Tammy Duckworth!
calguy
(5,692 posts)The only polls that are accurate are the ones showing Bernie ahead, right?
Chitown Kev
(2,197 posts)Might be early voting...early voting in Illinois is surpassing that of 2008
http://www.progressillinois.com/news/content/2016/03/10/early-voting-suburban-cook-county-sets-presidential-primary-record
Here's a pre-Michigan primary story
http://abc7chicago.com/politics/strong-early-voting-turnout-at-cook-county-polls/1229918/
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Thanks!
Octafish
(55,745 posts)Mar 15156 delegates
100% reporting Delegates Votes
Clinton (won)
73
50.5%
1,017,006
Sanders
70
48.7%
982,017
Dropped out: O'Malley