2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum92% Chance Of Hillary Winning The Democratic Nomination. 68% Chance Of Winning General Election.
92%
http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-democratic-nomination
68%
http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-winner
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)tecelote
(5,140 posts)DLnyc
(2,479 posts)Right on the money.
Basically they are saying, "if everything goes the way a bunch of us currently think things will go, then things will most likely go the way a bunch of us think they will go!"
A very true, but utterly useless, statement!
Purveyor
(29,876 posts)RCP Aggregate: Clinton +20.4
Pollster Aggregate: Clinton +18
Plenty of recent posts about Sanders "closing the gap", but I'm sure someone will complain that this is "discouraging" or "attempting to force him out".
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)peacebird
(14,195 posts)They blew it epically in Michigan. I think Bernie will be the nominee and our next President
revbones
(3,660 posts)Sure.
elleng
(134,780 posts)we will lose.'
Marco Rubio
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)methinks you would be on a south pacific island by now. ......
elleng
(134,780 posts)but I'm home now, and happy to be here!
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)awake
(3,226 posts)Major Nikon
(36,877 posts)On Sat Mar 12, 2016, 10:21 AM an alert was sent on the following post:
And what are the chances that Hillary gets Indicted?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1471545
REASON FOR ALERT
This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.
ALERTER'S COMMENTS
This shit is getting beyond absurd. Either you are here to help get democrats elected or you are rooting for the other side.
You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Sat Mar 12, 2016, 10:30 AM, and the Jury voted 2-5 to LEAVE IT.
Juror #1 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: It's a question, not an attack. I'm sure some oddsmaker somewhere would be happy to quote the odds.
Juror #2 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Concerns about whether a candidate would be viable or not are valid. If she were nominated, and then indicted, how would that affect the odds of Trump being elected?
Juror #3 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #4 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: This shit is getting beyond absurd. Hillary isn't the only option "to help get democrats elected". If anything she is a net negative for all the down ballot democrats, not to mention that the FBI is OFFICIALLY investigating her use of the private email server.
Juror #5 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: If you want to accuse Democratic candidates for president of felonies, go to Free Republic or some other right wing nutball site and help the Republicans openly.
Juror #6 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #7 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Pfffffffft.
awake
(3,226 posts)I do think we all need to be aware that there is a very real FBI investigation of one of the people running to be our candidate, and there is a chance of an indictment before or after our convention. My question is what are those chances, and this is a question that we all need to think about.
If our candidate is indicted after the convention then Trump or no Trump our chances of winning the White House become less than 1%
The investigation is not being done by some right wing wing nuts it is coming out of a justice department controlled by our party.
Which ever candidate you support this concern will not just go away by ignoring the real possibility of further action being taken by the justice department.
litlbilly
(2,227 posts)litlbilly
(2,227 posts)virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)Gregorian
(23,867 posts)I'm now beginning to see Hillary's run for the White House as irresponsible to the Democratic party, because of what has, and what may happen in this election. 100 FBI agents are not just snooping around, but ready to indict for criminal activity.
So cheer on.
JTFrog
(14,274 posts)nichomachus
(12,754 posts)She will be a terrible president, just like she's been terrible at everything else she's done, and she will drag the party down with her.
Uglystick
(88 posts)99% of Predictwise being completely wrong.
dubyadiprecession
(6,133 posts)peacebird
(14,195 posts)Herman4747
(1,825 posts)This same STUPID Predictwise had Marco Rubio at 47% to win the Republican nomination around February 12, and Ted Cruz at 3%!!
So two extremely right-wing senators, who are in agreement about 98% of the time -- why should one be at 47% and the other at 3%??
By February 12th Cruz even had more delegates!!
No, 47% to 3% was STUPID. Stupid, stupid, stupid!
And, no, it was not just a single day that Predictwise over-rated Rubio's chances -- it was for the entire month of February, and into early March.
One of the "sources" of Predictwise is Betfair. http://predictwise.com/faq/ Betfair is a BRITISH wagering market! Now think: How well do you suppose you would do betting as an American on who will become the next British Prime Minister??? Not so well, right?
Gwhittey
(1,377 posts)And went against marching orders. The Donors lost alot of money due to the shut down and losing money pisses them off.