2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHopefully Hillary increases her lead to 250 - 300 tomorrow
to make it harder for Bernie to catch up. I think this is very doable!
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)... and even if it's not that much, it will still be an INCREASE! Which means, of course, that Bernie falls further behind!
She with the most delegates gets the nomination. He with the fewest delegates returns to the Senate.
Go, Hillary!
HERVEPA
(6,107 posts)SheenaR
(2,052 posts)The lead was supposed to increase by 100+ tomorrow and she was and is expected by pundits to win all 5. It won't and she won't. By definition that is largely underperforming. So pump the brakes. The momentum is not in your favor
and whatever other ones you flood your posts with.
While I am at it, where should I send your shirt?
http://www.bravenewlook.com/products/399255754?s=1&utm_source=facebook
Safe to click btw
roguevalley
(40,656 posts)brooklynite
(94,502 posts)Bottom line, he still underperforming his targets; the goal here isn't to "win" States, it's to win enough delegates, and he's not.
Chan790
(20,176 posts)It's really stupid to call any of them a win for anybody. They're not moving the needle either way for Sanders or Clinton and at the convention, the delegates will offset sufficiently as to have no real impact on the outcome.
The only reason we have any attention to who wins a functional tie in a proportional primary is because ties in politics, like ties in sports, make for bad TV. Let's all stop feeding the media stupidity and call them what they are: ties and non-decisive wins where the assigned delegate-gain is less than a handful and has no clear impact. (If IA yesterday didn't show that...Clinton "won" the caucus...and lost the delegate vote in Mercer Co. yesterday, likely flipping the outcome statewide.)
Winner-take-alls are different, but proportional contests can be and often are ties, actual or functional.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)Bernie gets still further behind in delegates with 5 less states to contest. How is that good for Bernie?
In order to catch up before the convention Bernie needs to win big in a bunch of states while not losing any more by wide margins. Because if Hillary gets to the convention with even a one pledged delegate lead, the super delegates are going to give her the nomination on the first ballot.
You with the jumping frog - show me a probable path for Bernie to catch up because I don't see one.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)So she wins all 5 tomorrow?
DCBob
(24,689 posts)FL: 70-30
NC: 60-40
The rest are awash.
Florida could certainly get out of hand. I'm basing mine on the premise that NC will be much closer.
That's why they are predictions. Someone is bound to be right!
DCBob
(24,689 posts)But Florida I am confident is going big for Hillary... very big.
Barack_America
(28,876 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)It all depends on whether "The Force" is with her!
brooklynite
(94,502 posts)revbones
(3,660 posts)I'm seeing the opposing predictions on the Bernie side. It'll be interesting.
bigwillq
(72,790 posts)MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)morningfog
(18,115 posts)Ron Green
(9,822 posts)for the people of the United States and the world.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)Wait we still have to hear from at least one hundred more before we can make a determination.
Carlo Marx
(98 posts)How about when she stumbles and stammers to justify taking millions of dollars from Wall Street, "September 11" or "everybody's doing it"--do you whoop it up and high five over her brilliant response or awkwardly hope they move quickly to another topic?
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)Logical
(22,457 posts)Alfresco
(1,698 posts)Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)Alfresco
(1,698 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Oh well. It won't last too much longer. Be patient.
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)I had to say something - no one else replies to your posts and I didn't want you to get lonely.
GreatGazoo
(3,937 posts)Logical
(22,457 posts)mathewsleep
(857 posts)lumberjack_jeff
(33,224 posts)CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)and the math really isn't looking good for Bernie.
hill2016
(1,772 posts)are watching the delegate count very very carefully