Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
Editorials & Other Articles
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary is up by 300 but there are 2500 more delegates left
This isn't even close to being over.
20 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight:
NoneDon't highlight anything
5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight:
NoneDon't highlight anything
5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Hillary is up by 300 but there are 2500 more delegates left (Original Post)
Csainvestor
Mar 2016
OP
WA has 118 total delegates in a closed caucus. Not sure how many of those are supers.
LonePirate
Mar 2016
#13
A large state blowout gives him some wiggle room. A 56% average is his bare minimum though.
LonePirate
Mar 2016
#14
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)1. Its over.
Renew Deal
(85,152 posts)2. That's nice. What percentage does Bernie have to win to catch up?
And lets not pretend the super-delegates don't count.
Csainvestor
(388 posts)5. You assume bernie won't win lanslides going forward
For example He could win Washington big.
Renew Deal
(85,152 posts)6. How many delegates will he net?
LonePirate
(14,367 posts)13. WA has 118 total delegates in a closed caucus. Not sure how many of those are supers.
Renew Deal
(85,152 posts)15. 17 are super-delegates
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/WA-D#0326
Of the other 101, lets say he wins 60-40. He nets 20. Of course, that's on the high end.
Of the other 101, lets say he wins 60-40. He nets 20. Of course, that's on the high end.
LonePirate
(14,367 posts)16. Thanks. Your link is very useful and informative.
Codeine
(25,586 posts)3. He has to start winning big. Big margins in big states.
Little wins won't mean anything. Clinton has a layer of ablative armor several feet thick at this point.
Csainvestor
(388 posts)7. Hillary won landslides and so will bernie.
Washington State may bring a Bernie landslide.
Point remains. She is up by 300 points but there are still 2500 points left to earn.
Codeine
(25,586 posts)11. She may be up by 350 by the time the dust settles tonight.
That's a huge friggin' hill to climb.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)19. It is. But it's still far from a sheer cliff, innit?
Codeine
(25,586 posts)20. There's an outside chance, always.
I just think the "math looks good" posts are quite silly. 
Thor_MN
(11,843 posts)17. Except that closed caucuses favor Clinton.
Open caucus is more favorable to Sanders.
pkdu
(3,977 posts)4. Lets us know what you are investing in
Id like to avoid it please.
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)8. Fair enough; explain which States Sanders wins AND BY WHAT PERCENTAGE?
LonePirate
(14,367 posts)9. Bernie will need to win them by at least 1400-1100 (or 56%-44%)
He may win a large state in a blowout.
LonePirate
(14,367 posts)14. A large state blowout gives him some wiggle room. A 56% average is his bare minimum though.
hill2016
(1,772 posts)12. not even correct
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/democrats/
There are 2000 delegates left after today.
There are 2000 delegates left after today.
Stuckinthebush
(11,203 posts)18. No. It's over.
The math doesn't work. It's done. Good fight but it's over.