Nate: 'The first rule of poll analysis is that if a poll looks like an outlier it usually is'

[TroyD]

Nate Silver

The first rule of poll analysis is that if a poll looks like an outlier, it usually is.

https://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight

[mgcgulfcoast]

1. referring to gallup?

[WI_DEM]

2. Is he talking about Gallup?

[gcomeau]

4. Yes. -nt

[regnaD kciN]

5. He didn't say so explicitly...

...but I can't see what else it could be referring to, considering the timing.

[DarthDem]

6. He Has to Be

There's nothing else that I can imagine that he'd be referring to. And Silvers mind works mathematically (which is both good and bad for those of us who are interested in his views), so I think he would have added a clarifier if he didn't assume that what he was talking about was clear.

[BraKez2]

3. read this on twitter...

...first thought... gallup

[magical thyme]

7. first thing I said about the Gallup poll was that it's an outlier

No way that women suddenly swung so heavily to Romney.