2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIf Trump is forced to run third party, I think there's a good chance Bernie will too
I checked out the rules today, looks like both candidates have the money and organization already set up, with time to meet the state deadlines. I know he said he wouldn't because he didn't want to split the dem ticket and have another Nadar situation. But if the Repubs split their ticket, I would think all bets would be off.
Depending how it goes from here forward, he could claim he owes it to his supporters, especially those in states that voted for him in wide margins, and his supporters wouldn't hold it agaisnt him I bet. In this crazy election anything can happen, and we've all seen his determination, stamina, and tenacity!
Feel the Bern, part 2!
~Ava~
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)NuclearDem
(16,184 posts)revbones
(3,660 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)CaliforniaPeggy
(149,588 posts)ThePhilosopher04
(1,732 posts)He would almost have to do it.
CaliforniaPeggy
(149,588 posts)He would not be a spoiler.
IF Trump runs as a third party candidate, that would hand the election to us.
BernieforPres2016
(3,017 posts)Hillary is a Republican as far as I'm concerned.
CaliforniaPeggy
(149,588 posts)Cal33
(7,018 posts)half dead, perhaps, but still breathing. Where there is life, there is hope.
VulgarPoet
(2,872 posts)FarPoint
(12,336 posts)This is a Democratic Discussion Board dedicated to our Democratic candidates. You can express your opinion in a more respectable fashion if you tried. I'm very disappointed.
Katashi_itto
(10,175 posts)corrupt corporate shill?
asuhornets
(2,405 posts)a Republican then you are not a Democrat.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)NorthCarolina
(11,197 posts)eom
Hekate
(90,645 posts)...from BS supporters here. It's beyond distressing. If HRC is the nominee, I expect BS will shake her hand like a gentleman and an adult -- you and I know how the game is played. But how will his DU contingent ever work with the Democratic Party if they believe the things they say about HRC?
Third Party? The GOP is imploding before our eyes, and some on our side want to help them by splitting the Dem Party?
See you in the other side of this madness.
CorporatistNation
(2,546 posts)AS are MILLIONS who will not accept the "lesser of two evils" ever again! Look at a recent post entitled A nother take on the Bernie or Bust phenomena... The tale is graphically told right there!
CorporatistNation
(2,546 posts)hellofromreddit
(1,182 posts)He does what he says he will do.
rurallib
(62,406 posts)Hekate
(90,645 posts)Seems to be the dream of some on the extremes of both right and left. Then as if by magic, out of the ensuing chaos and misery, all wrongs would be magically righted. Or something. I hear this kind of imagining from religious apocalyptics as well.
arcane1
(38,613 posts)TDale313
(7,820 posts)He's said he wouldn't, and I trust he'll keep his word.
FarPoint
(12,336 posts)If Bernie is serious about making changes, this would be a good, foundation starting point.
Amimnoch
(4,558 posts)He has very large name recognition now. If he isn't the nominee I hope he goes activist and gets Democrats who are weak on Democrat issues primaried with Democrats that are more true to causes. Endorsements, campaign assistance, fundraising assistance etc..
Purveyor
(29,876 posts)joshcryer
(62,269 posts)morningfog
(18,115 posts)revbones
(3,660 posts)I don't think he or his followers will accept anything less. All the talk about stopping him is just fuel for the fire if they actually do.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)There's a law, inspired by Charlie Crist, that you can't lose a party primary and then file a third party run.
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)Florida relies on an implicit sore loser law, wherein it is understood as a matter of convention that a candidate who loses in the primary cannot turn around and run in the general election for the same office under a different affiliation (or no affiliation). However, no statute explicitly prohibits party switching.
There is such a law in Texas, but a Dem won't win that state anyway.
~Ava~
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)Eom
ThePhilosopher04
(1,732 posts)Hekate
(90,645 posts)....the election will be over. Also, consider Bush v. Gore and how that was settlec.
joshcryer
(62,269 posts)pat_k
(9,313 posts)He is looking to revitalize the Democratic Party. Running third-party would be counterproductive.
If you haven't seen this interview, check it out:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511562983
Codeine
(25,586 posts)Trump might, but not Sanders.
And anyone advocating he should can fuck right off.
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)End
Codeine
(25,586 posts)violates a core tenent of this little virtual community.
revbones
(3,660 posts)I would think it'd be a bit different if he did and took the core of the party and left the establishment. What then? What if the Democratic party split?
Discussing what if's on an imaginary party that is really a split of the Democratic party isn't really advocating for a completely separate party in any sense is it?
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)Think about it.
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)Eom
Hekate
(90,645 posts)Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)Eom
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)Blue_In_AK
(46,436 posts)In fact, I would be disappointed in him if he did. Bernie is a man of his word.
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)And right now behind the scenes there are a bunch of supporters begging him (including a few large workers Union) him to consider. I can totally see a rationale for him to change his mind.
I'm mostly saying that it is doable, legally and feasibly.
~Ava~
Trenzalore
(2,331 posts)Either you can't run if you ran in the primary or you have to file for the General Election the same day of the primary.
If he decided to do this he wouldn't be on the ballot in the number of states necessary to hit 270.
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)South Dakota and Texas, and Dems nor Trump will likely win Texas anyway, in a 4 way vote. Link confirms my claim:
https://ballotpedia.org/Ballot_access_for_presidential_candidates
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)and with Elizabeth Warren, but whatever.
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)It would be a 4 way race...
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)The Dems, not so much. Here I know they believe they are, but it's not playing out that way in the primary so far.
Stupid to do anything but make the Dem party stronger against them.
SFnomad
(3,473 posts)Then, according to the Twelfth Amendment, the House of Representatives would select the winner, choosing from the top three electoral vote getters. Each state gets one vote. Do you understand how that helps Republicans now?
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)Which would put a snag in things, the last thing we need to do is give away our votes to the Congress of Corruption....
Thanks for alerting about that possibility!
~Ava~
Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)Not gonna happen.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)there will be no brokered convention (as much as I would like to see one)... and Bernie will not run third party either.
VulgarPoet
(2,872 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)But due to the nature of this year I expect Bernie to just be slightly better. It has to do with trump. And trust me, I fear a trump presidency. I know people don't want to hear it. But it is what it is.
Hekate
(90,645 posts)HERVEPA
(6,107 posts)Jitter65
(3,089 posts)You name it, I can't.
Egalitarian, eagle as the symbol
Eagles always beat donkeys and elephants
sadoldgirl
(3,431 posts)Bernie is a man of principles and his word.
However,he may not want to advocate too
much for HRC, because it is his aim to bring
the party back to its FDR,JFK,LBJ roots, and doing so by
encouraging his supporters to do so effectively.
He will give some support to HRC, if she is the nominee,
but his deepest interests go way beyond that.
jwirr
(39,215 posts)he promises something.
That would be interesting though. Trump would pull votes from the Rs. Bernie would still have all of us and we would be fighting the primary all over again.
Tarc
(10,476 posts)He sees the bigger picture and knows what is at stake in the future is more important than hurt feelings.
w4rma
(31,700 posts)Tarc
(10,476 posts)ThePhilosopher04
(1,732 posts)Hillary would do the same thing.
Tarc
(10,476 posts)Hekate
(90,645 posts)Which means she's been a Dem for almost 50 years. Bernie has been a Dem for about 15 minutes -- at least in name only, and because he figured he could USE an infrastructure he had no part in building.
Whoopty-do. Hillary isn't leaving the Party she helped build. Bernie will be gone the day after the election to resume his role as Senate gadfly.
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)Your comment doesn't make sense to me. People support the candidate they believe will bring forth a brighter future, what dose that have to do with "hurt feelings"? This isn't a popularity contest.
~Ava~
ThePhilosopher04
(1,732 posts)revbones
(3,660 posts)But if there was already 3, I would think he'd have to at least consider it.
SheilaT
(23,156 posts)These threads are getting every bit as tiresome as the loyalty oath ones.
ThePhilosopher04
(1,732 posts)Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)SheilaT
(23,156 posts)If Bernie Sanders does not get the Democratic nomination, he will not make any kind of independent run. Got that?
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)It's all pretty interesting though, and feasible. I think the two party system is how we got to this point and why were losing ground economically.
What's the point of the two party system? The main point is to keep third parties out, while the two parties continue to switch parts in the Punch-and-Judy show brought to us by Their mega million dollar backers.
mikehiggins
(5,614 posts)Almost anyone else in his shoes might consider a scenario like that but not Sanders. One of his strong suits is the old Popeye slogan, I yam what I yam cause I yam what I yam...
He gave his word not to run as a third party candidate. End of story.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)That's just what he should do - if he wants to make himself even more irrelevant than he already is.
revbones
(3,660 posts)Hekate
(90,645 posts)Good old Ralphie. How'd that work out for us in 2000?
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)He has no credibility you are saying
Response to Avalon Sparks (Original post)
Kip Humphrey This message was self-deleted by its author.
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)This link below suggests filings are by state and aside from Texas (which no Dem is likely gonna win anyway) the earliest deadline is in North Carolina in mid June, majority of other states are in July and August, with a few in September. Here's the link, do you have contradicting information?
https://ballotpedia.org/Ballot_access_for_presidential_candidates
I don't see any filing deadlines as early as March.
~Ava~
Kip Humphrey
(4,753 posts)DrDan
(20,411 posts)Ken Burch
(50,254 posts)If you support Bernie, please don't do anything to encourage the hosts of this site to suppress pro-Sanders posts while the primaries are still going on.
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)Has that really been happening on DU?
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)I'm guessing you think yours speculation rather than faith-based prophecy, yes?
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)Please clarify?
ibegurpard
(16,685 posts)WheelWalker
(8,955 posts)of Representatives. A huge faceplant probable.
gordyfl
(598 posts)Bernie has plenty of experience running, and winning as an Independent. Current polls show him doing better than Hillary in General Election.
Yes, Hillary would be the spoiler.
Bernie would be able to raise more money than Nader ever dreamed of.
BreakfastClub
(765 posts)"exposure" and then when he doesn't win the nom, he goes independent and runs against the party he just used to get said exposure! I hope he's not that big of a jerk.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Like EW running for President, some will dream about these things no matter what the person themselves has said.
sofa king
(10,857 posts)Nothing Bernie Sanders has said or done to this point suggests that this is a profit-driven vanity run, as it is for Trump and Cruz (and Carson, Christie, Bush, Fiorina...). He's been pretty consistent with his statements and has already acknowledged that win or lose he will support the Democratic nominee.
Furthermore, as a Member of Congress, (one who actually reads and understands the Constitution unlike the GOP Senators who have disgraced this campaign), Sanders knows full well that by taking electoral votes away from Hillary Clinton he would dramatically increase the chances of a contested election, where the Republican House can simply not vote for anyone and coronate Paul Ryan.
We can conclude the exact same for Mrs. Clinton, with even more certainty, because she already did this in 2008, accepting defeat and becoming a powerful ally of Senator Obama's general election campaign.
We are blessed with two candidates of high integrity, while the GOP has none, and if the guesses we draw do not presuppose this they are sure to be incorrect.
pampango
(24,692 posts)just a few days away (Aug. 1 or 2) in 12 other states and just 2 weeks away (Aug 10-12) in 8 other states.
Filing deadlines and signature requirements by state
The republican convention is the week before ours so Bernie would know before our convention what Trump is or is not going to do, but he would not have much time to file to be on the ballot in many states. I suppose Bernie could begin collecting signatures for an independent run while the primaries are still going on (that seems inconceivable to me) or after the last primary in June depending on how things look at that point, but to begin collecting signatures before the convention would certainly put an 'interesting' spin on the convention.
gordyfl
(598 posts)but the poster didn't provide a link.
I'm glad you cleared that up by providing a link.
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)I doubt he'd do that either.
~Ava~
Orsino
(37,428 posts)If Trump is squeezed out of the nomination, he will of course threaten a third-party run. Like he threatens to sue, and like he claims never to settle.
gollygee
(22,336 posts)He doesn't owe it to his supporters to jeopardize the SCOTUS.
Vinca
(50,261 posts)He's not a narcissist like Trump. That's why he's running as a Democrat and not an Independent. He doesn't want to be blamed for splitting the Democratic vote and enabling a batshit crazy person to become president.
DrDan
(20,411 posts)anything would be different.
It is a FAR different scenario than trumps.
Lone_Wolf
(1,603 posts)The party leaders did not make concessions he wanted on the party platform:
Medicare for all
$15/hr Min wage
Strong stance on climate change
Free tuition at public universities and colleges.
Tax on Wall Street speculation
stone space
(6,498 posts)I think folks who really want to see a 3rd party run on the left in 2016 will have to find another candidate.
But hurry up.
Time is getting short.
djean111
(14,255 posts)with pandering ease are all invoking the "Bernie is a man of his word" incantation.
kristopher
(29,798 posts)I was also thinking about the obligation one has to live up to a word given on the assumption of fair play by all. That is a key element of Bernie's ethical dilemma that Camp Clinton is, literally, blind to.
rock
(13,218 posts)Trump = Asshole
Bernie = Not an Asshole
Only Trump would attempt a run 3rd party.
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)EdwardBernays
(3,343 posts)If Bernie were to run third party a third party GOP establishment candidate would also run... and in that scenario Bernie wins easily...
Chan790
(20,176 posts)It would basically insure that the election gets kicked to Congress and because we have only a narrow chance of taking back the House, that means you're handing the Presidency to the GOP nominee who likely finishes 3rd or 4th in the popular vote. If Democrats retake the House, then you're giving the Presidency to Clinton anyways...there is no path in a 4-way race for Sanders to the Presidency because there is no possibility of a direct EC win of 270EC votes; there is no path for Trump either in a 4-way race...his only chance in a 3-way race is to either take safe Democratic states or to sweep the toss-ups while shutting-out the GOP nominee.
No, the correct tack for Sanders if Trump goes 3rd-party and Hillary wins the nomination is to garner concessions from Clinton. She can't win the Presidency without his support and him not running an independent race. He literally holds control of who gets the Presidency...and we all know it'll be Clinton in that case but he can hold it hostage to his demands in the meanwhile...demanding to name her T Sec. Labor Sec. and policy concessions, for example...or the next DNC chair...or pretty much whatever he wants that it is in her power to give him.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)again.
yellowcanine
(35,699 posts)To even make the comparison is offensive.
giftedgirl77
(4,713 posts)Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)Which is what I intend to do anyway.
still_one
(92,136 posts)have any understanding of what a third party candidacy would do? It would most likely send the election to the republican house where the republican house would select the republican nominee for president.
Bernie understands this. Unfortunately, it is sad that the OP doesn't
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)I posted this to see what people here thought, someone posted long before you about the vote going to the house because no one would get 270 in a 4 way run. I thanked them for the I site and agreed.
How unfortunate for you that you wasted your breath/time responding.
But hey, thanks for playing...
~Ava~
still_one
(92,136 posts)and no, I didn't read every single response to your thread.
I was responding to the OP you presented
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)how unfortunate for me to have missed "your point"
still_one
(92,136 posts)Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)still_one
(92,136 posts)Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)We're all a little riled up these days - Peace!
WhiteTara
(29,704 posts)because he stated he wouldn't do anything like that.
djean111
(14,255 posts)Or of the candidates.
bigtree
(85,986 posts)...what a complete sham that would be, after telling voters he's committed to running as a Democrat and determined to not be a 'spoiler.'
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)Nadar did not run as a Dem in the primary, and during Nadar's run the GOP did not run on a split.
just sayin...
~Ava~
Left2Tackle
(64 posts)Time to split this 2 party train wreck wide open.
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)It's likely that with 4 candidates no one would likely get the 270 votes and then congress picks the winner.
The point of the two-party system apparently is to prevent a viable 3rd party winner.
Wonder who benefits the most from that?
runaway hero
(835 posts)trump i think could win in a 4 way.
Avalon Sparks
(2,565 posts)And least in his younger years....haha
~Ava~
runaway hero
(835 posts)LWolf
(46,179 posts)Sanders will not be running as a 3rd party candidate.
Depaysement
(1,835 posts)Check the rules again.
Mister Ed
(5,928 posts)strategery blunder
(4,225 posts)You do realize how the House would vote in that kind of 4-way split, don't you?
We'd end up with the most kkkonservative kkklown who had run (not gonna try to predict who would emerge from an R brokered convention).
Dear God no.
Bernie is smarter than that. And yes, I'm caucusing for Bernie in little more than 24 hours.
Hekate
(90,645 posts)....simply accepting that in any electoral race everybody gets winnowed out in the process except one person. He can choose to do what he wants to do (create chaos and dominate) but nobody is "forcing" him to do anything.
And if I understand you correctly, you are hoping that if the GOP splits apart, the Dems should do the same. What exactly would that accomplish in your mind?
Right now the Democrats are behaving like the only adults in the room, having substantive debates, airing actual policy differences, providing plans for the future. Both our candidates look good by comparison to the GIP candidates, who look like spoiled children and madmen.
Arkana
(24,347 posts)a Republican.
Especially if that Republican is Donald fucking Trump.
srobert
(81 posts)He said he will not run as a spoiler. He's a man of his word and it's not going to happen. This is one of the differences between Bernie and Hillary. She will change her position on a host of issues after (if) she becomes President. I'm anticipating, for example, that the TPP will be passed if Hillary is elected, though it will likely go by a different name. My evidence: She ran against CAFTA, then endorsed it as secretary of state. But then these are reasons I'm voting for Bernie in the first place.