Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

Segami

(14,923 posts)
Tue Mar 29, 2016, 03:08 PM Mar 2016

Bernie Sanders | The Rebellion Will NOT Go Away


"...Whichever anti-Establishment candidate runs, he wins. If both anti-Establishment candidates face off, Sanders wins. The message seems pretty clear. Dear Establishment Democrats, you can lose to Sanders or lose to Trump. Those are your choices, and I'm more than happy to wait until November 9 to find out what you chose and how it turned out. Not pleased to wait, if you choose wrongly, but willing to wait, just so we're both aware of what happened..."



The Sanders- and Trump-led (for now) political rebellion is not going to go away. There are only two questions going forward:

1- Will it remain a political rebellion, one that expresses itself through the electoral process, or will it abandon the electoral process as useless after 2016?

2- Will it be led by humanitarian populism from the left, or authoritarian populism from the right?

Why is this rebellion permanent, at least until conditions improve? Because life in the U.S. is getting worse in a way that can be felt by a critical mass of people, by enough people to disrupt the Establishment machine with their anger. And because that worsening is seen to be permanent. Bottom line, people are reaching the breaking point, and we're watching that play out in the 2016 electoral race.

Yes, It Is a Rebellion

There's no other way to see the Sanders and Trump surges except as a popular rebellion, a rebellion of the people against their "leaders." If one of them, Sanders or Trump, is on the ballot in November running against an Establishment alternative, Sanders or Trump, the anti-Establishment candidate, will win. That candidate will cannibalize votes from the Establishment side. That is, Sanders will attract a non-zero percentage of Trump-supporting voters if Cruz or Paul Ryan runs against him, and he will win. By the same token, Trump will attract a non-zero percentage Sanders-supporting voters if Clinton runs against him, and she will lose to him. (In fact, we have a good early indication of what percentage of Sanders supporters Clinton will lose — 20% of Sanders primary voters say they will sit out the general election if Clinton is the candidate, and 9% say they will vote for Trump over Clinton. By this measure, Clinton loses 30% of the votes that went to Sanders in the primary election.)

If they run against each other, Sanders and Trump, Sanders will win. You don't have to take my word for it (or the word of any number of other writers). You can click here and see what almost every head-to-head poll says. As I look at it today, the average of the last six head-to-head polls is Sanders by almost 18% over Trump. In electoral terms, that's a wipeout. For comparison, Obama beat McCain by 6% and Romney by 4%. Note that Sanders is still surging, winning some states with 80% of the vote (across all states he's won, he averages 67% of the vote), while Trump seems to have hit a ceiling below 50%, even in victory. The "socialist" tag is not only not sticking, it's seen positively by his supporters. And finally, just imagine a Trump-Sanders debate. Sanders' style is teflon to Trumps', and again, I'm not alone in noticing this.


cont'

http://downwithtyranny.blogspot.com/2016/03/the-rebellion-will-not-go-away.html#willrichstanddown
13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Bernie Sanders | The Rebellion Will NOT Go Away (Original Post) Segami Mar 2016 OP
Did he use that word? Your title makes it sound like he used that word. nt onehandle Mar 2016 #1
No, he didn't use that word. MineralMan Mar 2016 #3
Didn't think so. nt onehandle Mar 2016 #4
Anonymous Blogger Says Shit... MineralMan Mar 2016 #2
Another worthless post Segami Mar 2016 #6
Funny...that's the four words I read, too...I just stopped there. n/t libdem4life Mar 2016 #8
Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Mar 2016 #5
"..The squeeze is on,.. Segami Mar 2016 #7
K&R Segami. Thank you. nm floriduck Mar 2016 #9
This is just common sense...kind of a compilation of many sources. libdem4life Mar 2016 #10
Yes we have been robbed felix_numinous Mar 2016 #11
The Clinton campaign are trying to run out the game clock... Segami Mar 2016 #12
Yes --here's to more debates! felix_numinous Mar 2016 #13

MineralMan

(151,269 posts)
3. No, he didn't use that word.
Tue Mar 29, 2016, 03:15 PM
Mar 2016

Revolution. He uses that word. Rebellion. No, he doesn't use that word.

 

Segami

(14,923 posts)
6. Another worthless post
Tue Mar 29, 2016, 03:19 PM
Mar 2016

from the grand whisperer of these boards.

Keep it kicked.........thank you...


carry on......

 

Segami

(14,923 posts)
7. "..The squeeze is on,..
Tue Mar 29, 2016, 03:29 PM
Mar 2016
"...and unless the rich who run the game for their benefit alone decide to stand down and let the rest of us catch our breath and a break, there will be no letting up on the reaction. What we're watching is just the beginning. Unless the rich and their Establishment enablers stand down, it won't be the end but a start, and just a start..."

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
10. This is just common sense...kind of a compilation of many sources.
Tue Mar 29, 2016, 04:09 PM
Mar 2016

The Establishment is in a world of hurt, although it doesn't recognize it yet, what with Denial being all the rage today.

There's a long way yet to go, and if HRC becomes the nominee, too many targets for the opposition. We can demur all day long on her record as apparently Good Democrats are to do, but negative content emerges almost daily.

Sander's problem is name recognition...lack of it. Clinton's problem is, name, as well which propelled her automatically with a long lead. Now the problem with the name and the Foundation that bears it may be the end of the second run. Bill in the White House again? Hmmm.

Bernie vs. Trump = President Sanders

felix_numinous

(5,198 posts)
11. Yes we have been robbed
Tue Mar 29, 2016, 04:34 PM
Mar 2016

and this movement is larger than the election. We have to make different choices to climb out of this hole they have dug for us.

Voodoo economics created all the zombies who were brainwashed to believe in the magical thinking of trickle down--that people who amassed great fortunes somehow benevolently care for the Earth and all her creatures-- and we should obey them because $$$=god, wisdom, authority.

Fourty years later we shake off the fairy dust and realize we've been had. But better late than never-- and we CAN co create another future by finding more honest allies than the ones that just want to load us all on a train bound for a dystopian police state future and more robbery.

 

Segami

(14,923 posts)
12. The Clinton campaign are trying to run out the game clock...
Tue Mar 29, 2016, 06:48 PM
Mar 2016

They're not interested in putting more points on the board. They're ahead, they have possession of the ball and control the game.....UNLESS they fumble.....Refusing to debate Bernie in New York says it all.

But this is not a football game and the people are not fans but voters, who will ultimately determine If or WHEN this game is over or IF they push this match into overtime.





Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Bernie Sanders »