Reuters/Ipsos Oct 18 poll shows a gain among registered voters for President Obama

[ProSense]

DAILY ELECTION TRACKING 10.02.12
http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=12040

Daily Election Tracking: 10.11.12
http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=12068

Daily Election Tracking: 10.18.12
http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=12104

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

1. People are waking up

And realizing they have to do their part to keep O in office.

[courseofhistory]

2. Looks Good!! n/t

[regnaD kciN]

3. I'm confused...is this their tracker from four days ago?

Why don't we look at the current results?

[ProSense]

4. It's the latest one posted:

http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/us/2012-election/

The results from Saturday were reported, but not posted.

The point of the post is to show a trend between Oct. 2 and Oct 18, based on the available data.

Why is that a WTF?

[regnaD kciN]

7. I can understand how Saturday's result wouldn't yet be available yet...

...but the 18th was Thursday. Didn't they post the Friday numbers, either? It seems a strange way to run their news dissemination.

[ProSense]

11. Not sure why there is such a delay. n/t

[ProSense]

5. Also, on Oct 18

Gallup had Romney up 6 among LV, and up 1 among RV.

[ProSense]

6. I promise to update it

with Sunday's results when these are posted Monday or Tuesday.

Until then, any comment on the trend?

[regnaD kciN]

8. The trend, obviously, look very good...

...which is why I was wondering if it had continued.

[karynnj]

10. Thanks for posting this

The trend is more positive than any of the others that I have seen.

Looking - very casually at the detail, there are two observations that I can make.

1) Looking at the plot over time, it seems that the bulk of the Romney gain from the first debate happened days after the debate - as the media reiterated that Obama lost (rather than the alternative possible story that Romney lied). As there is a debate tomorrow, it is not clear that the second debate will have that kind of delayed affect.

2) If you look at the reaction tables of the second debate, among independents, the biggest change was that far more negatively changed their opinion of Romney than positively changed them. (More independents positively changed their opinion of Obama than negatively, but that gap was smaller.)

[Rosa Luxemburg]

9. I'm noticing the independents

[Tarheel_Dem]

12. Now we turn them into LIKELY voters. nt