Al Sharpton is breaking it down - Early voting NV +22/ IA +17/ OH +15

[powergirl]

He said, "everyone says the race is close . . ." And then he explains the early voting which is happening in over 25 states. Early voting is breaking overwhelmingly for the prez.

NV +22 O
IA +17 O
OH +15 O

[Maximumnegro]

1. That's low for OH, though isn't it

Most of the polls are at least +20 for OH EV. Would be great to have some context to these numbers.

Regardless, Obama is kickin' ass plain and simple.

This is also ties into another post I made: if there really is a Romney surge why isn't it showing in the EV. If you were pumped up would you be like Nah I'll wait? Even NC is still not showing sign of a GOP 'wave'.

So why are we made to believe he has momentum?

[LisaL]

16. I have no clue how he came up with this number.

There were at least 4 polls done, and all these polls showed a bigger margin for Obama.

[montanacowboy]

2. I have never believed it was close

just look at the thousands that come out to see Obama - are they secretly voting for RmoneY?

Look at the hundreds that come out to see RmoneY -

Hello? If it comes out to be close I will believe voting machines flipped

[johnlucas]

14. I also never believed this election was close

I knew this was in the bag for Obama as soon as I saw the list of Republican challengers.
I explain my reasoning in this thread:

ELECTION SPOILER: Obama wins in a LANDSLIDE

I expect a 20% lead for Obama in the Popular Vote. 15% Minimum.

The media needs you to think it's close so you can tune in to their punditry.
That goes for the ones "on our side" & the ones "not on our side".

I'm glad Al is letting the cat out of the bag with the reality of this election.
Obama's gonna STEAMROLL Romney on November 6th. End of story.
John Lucas

P.S.: Another unlikely poll that shows Obama's dominance. 7-Eleven's 7-Election poll which as of October 22nd has Obama with 59% & Romney at 41%. That 18% gap being right in line with my personal 15% to 20% margin.

[bbinacan]

3. How does he know

the results from early voting? Are these numbers published?

[Maximumnegro]

5. The information is out there

The campaign released previous info on IA and OH. Jon Ralston has been tweeting NV EV totals and Sharpton probably also got it straight from the campaign. No mystery. Info is out there but people would rather stare at polls and hyperventilate.

[bbinacan]

13. I'd like to see the source.

Is it from the State's Board of Elections? If not, this info is no better than a poll.

[JiminyJominy]

4. Great News!

Too bad its coming from MSNBC though. I'm sorry, I want Obama to win as much as anyone here but this race is close.

MSNBC has a slight lean

[helpisontheway]

7. Slight lean? With hacks like Joe S.,

David Gregory and Chuck Todd?

[krawhitham]

6. Someone explain ths enthusiasm gap thing to me LV/RV/EV

We lead in RV but lose points in LV because of an enthusiasm gap, we are told that is the way it always is

But if we have this enthusiasm gap why are we killing them in early voting?

It would seem to be the most enthusiast party is voting as soon as they can

[Maximumnegro]

9. BINGO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[helpisontheway]

11. ABC poll just released showed that

Dems are more enthusiastic than Romney supporters. Perhaps the media coverage is pissing Dems off and causing them to head to the polls.

[chadnky]

10. What kind of margins does he need

What kind of margins does he need in the early voting to win ohio? More republicans show up on Election Day rather than vote early, correct?

[Azathoth]

12. We go through this nonsense every election. Early voting is "breaking" for us because Dems

have made it a huge priority to push and mobilize their supporters to vote early. This is often necessary for us, because a significant part of our base resides in urban and minority areas which are targeted by GOP disenfranchisement efforts and where polling places are overburdened on election day.

The GOP base, which is older, richer, and whiter, resides in rural and suburban communities where one has little trouble walking into a polling place to vote. Hence the GOP has far more reliable turnout on election day.

[LisaL]

15. That's why we need to run up huge margins in early voting.