New York: closed primary, registrations are over, diverse, the one state that loves Wall Street

[hill2016]

How does Bernie win here?

[JonLeibowitz]

1. Bernie won Hawaii and Alaska which are diverse. And Michigan.

Not to mention:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511657658

[jfern]

2. Ordinary New Yorkers don't love Wall Street

[dchill]

3. OK, they love Wall Street, they love their carpetbagging former senator...

Bernie from Brooklyn gets ZERO votes.

Right? Did I get it right?

[Cheese Sandwich]

4. Connecticut is the one state that loves Wall Street

isn't it?

[revbones]

5. Native son, born and raised in Brooklyn,

fights for the 99%, occupiers from Occupy Wall St love him, polls swing big when he gets boots on the ground. Couple that with Hillary's unfavorables and corruption, as well as any fallout from the Panama deal, her free trade advocacy, lies to unions, etc...

You tell me. But then I'm guessing by your username you guys affiliated with her campaign know all this already...

[TMontoya]

14. Occuply Wall St?

That is a nothing movement nowadays and seens as a liability to most Democrats.

[revbones]

18. I meant that there were a lot of people that participated in that

that don't approve of Wall St and look favorably on Bernie.

[TMontoya]

19. Sure

But that isn't the majority of NY, and NYC right now does not like De Blasio at all, he won't even win his re-election. Many associate De Blasio with Sanders so it turns a lot off.

[revbones]

20. Sure.

We'll see in a couple of weeks.

[TMontoya]

21. We certainly will

[kcjohn1]

6. There are 5 million registered Dems

In NY. Only 2 million voted in '08.

The thing people don't realize is when a state has closed primary, voters tend to be registered to one party or another. Plus NY is heavily Dem state so huge chunk of the population is already registered as democrats. What Bernie has to do is get those who are registered out to vote.

[hill2016]

7. so he won't be able to get students and independents to vote for him

in New York given registration is over...

[GeorgiaPeanuts]

10. Wrong we had a massive phonebanking effort in the lead up to the new voter registration deadline...

To get out the registration, I know the Sanders reddit group made over 100,000 calls in that time.

[TMontoya]

11. Reddit?

Is this a joke?

[GeorgiaPeanuts]

13. No...

https://www.berniepb.com/

They have sophisticated tools to even track it there.

[SheenaR]

16. Welcome to DU

A joke? Hardly. The Sanders for President Reddit has been an integral part of the success on the ground. But with your extensive knowledge on display here tonight, you clearly already knew that.

Sorry if I interrupted your trolling. Just responding to your post which had a lack of understanding as to what's been going on for months.

[Fumesucker]

12. Sanders was never supposed to break into double digits in the first place

He wasn't even going to win Vermont...

Remember?

I'm reminded of this Onion piece...

HUMBOLDT, IA—After making sure to douse every home, farm, and business located in the municipality with gasoline, retreating Clinton campaign staffers reportedly set the central Iowa town of Humboldt ablaze Friday to stem the advance of Bernie Sanders volunteers. “Once we received word the Sanders campaign had begun canvassing in nearby Fort Dodge, we only had a matter of hours to burn everything to the ground,” said communications director Jennifer Palmieri, who tossed a lit torch through the window of the town’s hardware store before rushing over to help a group of Hillary for America workers erect a roadblock made of dead livestock to prevent all entrance to and exit from the city. “With so little time left before voting day, we simply can’t allow them to establish a foothold in this part of the state. Besides, you can’t convince anyone to caucus for Bernie Sanders if the civilian population is gone and all that’s left is smoldering rubble.” At press time, Clinton campaign staffers were spotted rigging a nearby bridge with C-4 as they hastily retreated to Algona.

http://www.theonion.com/article/retreating-clinton-campaign-torches-iowa-town-slow-52261

[kcjohn1]

15. Who says Students haven't registered?

No Independents, but I think Independents only make up 17% of the NY state.

Again lots of progressive registered dems. If Wisconsin was closed, he would be screwed because its relatively small state that has as many repubs as dems. NY because its large and progressive state has 2:1 DEM/GOP registration.

3 million registered dems didn't even vote in 08 which was epic in terms of turnout. Issue won't be there not enough people to vote for Bernie. If he can't win, its because he couldn't get people to come out to vote for him not because they couldn't vote, but rather his message is not getting through.

[delrem]

8. You just watch him win!

You guys started out by saying The USA Dem party, 90% behind Hillary Clinton, how can Bernie Sanders win?
And now you're freaked because something's happening here and you don't know what it is. Do you?

[JPnoodleman]

9. There are parts of New York outside Wall Street?

[paulthompson]

17. No early voting in New York

That's a big advantage for Sanders, due to the Sanders late surge trend, which I mention here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511657772

Basically, voters who decide at the last minute go towards Sanders in a big way. So he does badly with people who voted a week or more in advance, because they miss out on his late momentum with his huge rallies and ads and media coverage. Nearly every state up until now has had early voting, sometimes by overwhelming numbers (like in Arizona and Florida, where over 80% voted early).

I think that cancels out the closed primary factor.

Oh, and there's no early voting in the next four of out five states too.