2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLatest MI polls 3 show Romney ahead and 2 show Santorum ahead
Can't be looking good for Romney. Polls tend to ask likely Republican voters and not take into account Dems and Inds that want to embarass Romney.
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/02/27/mixed_polling_results_in_michigan.html
Though a Public Policy Polling survey released late last night showed Mitt Romney regaining the lead over Rick Santorum in the Michigan GOP primary, 39% to 37%, a new Mitchell Research/Rosetta Stone poll shows Santorum taking over the lead back from Romney, 37% to 35%.
A new We Ask America poll shows Romney ahead 37% to 33%.
A new American Research Group survey shows Santorum just ahead, 36% to 35%.
A new Rasmussen survey shows Romney leading, 38% to 36%.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)than seeing Romney lose. There's no telling what a win for Santorum will do...embolden him more
to say more and more crazy shit.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)so Santorum would have to win pretty solidly in the actual voting tomorrow. This is where Romney's organization is helping. Santorum doesn't even have a campaign office in Michigan.
According to the PPP polling, Santorum is winning voters who will vote tomorrow. People who will vote tomorrow will make up a much larger percentage of the overall vote so this is good for Santorum. Regardless of who wins, it will be very close. I don't really care who the nominee is because I think both are weak candidates. I just want Romney to lose MI because it has been so annoying to listen to the "native son" nonsense for 5 years.
Renew Deal
(85,369 posts)Are you hearing anything?
mgcgulfcoast
(1,127 posts)blue_onyx
(4,211 posts)I don't know how many Dems will show up. I'm doubtful there will be a huge number of Dems. The PPP poll showed about 5% were Dems. Since it will probably be a close election, even a small number of Dems could effect the result.
Hippo_Tron
(25,453 posts)There simply aren't that many die-hard politicos out there who will do it.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Just a few thosand Dem and Ind could tip it.
Renew Deal
(85,369 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)according to most polls in Michigan. After Santorum had his triple wins a couple of weeks ago, the Michigan polls indicated that Santorum had taken a 6 or 7 point lead. In the last week especially most of the polls have been closing in Romney's favor including PPP which went from a 6-point Santorum lead to a 2-point Romney lead.
Renew Deal
(85,369 posts)They were trending to Romney and are now trending back.
mgcgulfcoast
(1,127 posts)lets throw a political pie in romney's elite face.
Mr.Turnip
(645 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)I wonder will happen if he does. It could get ugly for the Mitster.
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