2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie Sanders Nearly Catches Up With Hillary Clinton In California
"SAN FRANCISCO (KCBS) Californias Democratic primary this June is no longer a sure thing for frontrunner Hillary Clinton. The latest Field Poll finds Clinton has lost almost all of her once-massive lead over Bernie Sanders.
Less than a year ago, Clinton led Sanders in the Field Poll 66 percent to nine percent. Three months ago, Sanders had whittled her lead down to 11 points. Now Clinton leads 47 percent to 41 percent, a margin of just six points.
Hillary Clinton is ahead, but not by much, Field Poll director Mark DiCamillo told KCBS.
While the former Secretary of State leads among Democrats, the senator from Vermont is winning independent voters, who are allowed to vote in the states Democratic primary on June 7th. And Sanders is crushing Clinton among younger voters, whether they are men, women, white or Latino.
Where hes connecting most, its very clear in the poll, its generational and it crosses all sorts of subgroups, DiCamillo said.
Clinton is winning big among older voters of all stripes. But when measuring all Californians, including Republicans, Clinton no longer has a positive rating.
Thats the first time weve seen that, DiCamillo said. By contrast, Sanders is viewed favorably 55 to 35, so Clinton has to come through the primary campaign unscathed."
http://www.fantasticword.com/usa/bernie-sanders-nearly-catches-hillary-clinton-california/
RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)That minuscule lead will vaporize, and Bernie shall take CA by a landslide!
Skink
(10,122 posts)NWCorona
(8,541 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)I suspect he will be down by about 300 delegates by then. He will need to win CA by about 80-20 to make that up.
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)Bernie needs to keep wining and by large margins. The test will be NY as that will show his viability in Dem voters. He's made gains there as well but the biggest factor against him in that regard is the Oct 2015 registration deadline.
We will see soon enough.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)If he can pull off a moderate win there it could get somewhat interesting. If just tie or Hillary narrowly wins.. then nothing changes. If Hillary wins big.. its over.
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)...will you finally admit it's pretty much over?
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)See I can answer honestly
dana_b
(11,546 posts)I can't wait to vote! GOTV - California!